The Post-Matt Hasselbeck Era
Regardless of how you feel about Matt Hasselbeck, if you are a Seahawks fan you’re concerned about the QB position in 2011 and beyond.
I’m in the pro-Hasselbeck camp and have resided there for quite some time now. It’s possible that he’s not as good as he once was (and his statistics say that he’s much worse), but there are many factors that have contributed to his poor performance. His receivers have let him down (by being injured or simply not that good), his offensive line has let him down (by being injured or AND simply not that good), and his coaches have let him down (impossibly bad game-planning play-calling at times). I’d argue that all of the bad things about Hasselbeck’s performance have little to do with his age and everything to do with how he’s always played. Despite being one of the most articulate and thoughtful QBs in the NFL, he’s always had a propensity to do dumb things on the field. He has always forced throws that he has no business throwing—it’s just his way. He knows better but he does it anyway on the off chance that the play will work. He takes risks and they don’t always pay off. It’s how he’s always played. For better, for worse.
While he has been injured quite a bit over the last few years, most of his injuries are not age related. The Patrick Willis shot to the ribs comes to mind—unless you’re wearing a coat of armor, your ribs are going to give way causing your face to redden-up like a 75-year-old drunkard’s nose after a three-day binge on Fighting Cock. Now the gluteal pull in Tampa? That injury does not happen to a 28-year old. That’s age catching up to him—embarrassingly so.
So, when it comes to Hasselbeck’s RexGrossminian performances, very little of the mistakes have to do with physical (read: age) limitations. His poor performances are due to mental miscues. He knows it, and the Seattle front office knows it. I’d be willing to bet that the guy can play at least three more years at an acceptable level, but I don’t think it’s going to happen in Seattle.
No one outside of Hasselbeck’s camp and the Seahawks camp knows the numbers that were being tossed back and forth before the lockout. But I’d be willing to guess that Hasselbeck believes that he can play at a high level for at least three, but possibly four more years. Seattle hopes that’s the case, but doesn’t want to prospectively pay for that hope. I’d bet that they are offering a two year deal with significant performance-based incentives and that’s just not cutting it for Hasselbeck’s camp. My guess is that the following teams (in addition to Seattle) are at the very least interested in his services: San Francisco, Minnesota, Arizona, Cincinnati (if Palmer leaves), Tennessee, and Washington. If he wants to win and win big, the most obvious choice is San Francisco. They have a great foundation and clearly underachieved last year. They are primed to be monsters this year if they get a capable QB to run their team. Hasselbeck would be perfect for them because they have a lot of offensive weapons and a young and somewhat promising offensive line (still developing and had some issues last year, but they’ll get better) that will save him from himself (e.g. he won’t feel like he has to force things). As a Seattle fan, I don’t want to see this happen, obviously. But as a Hasselbeck fan…
Tennessee and Minnesota both look like good opportunities for Hasselbeck to start, but neither are as attractive as San Francisco from a winning potential destination. However, Hasselbeck’s Seattle “legacy” as it were would be enhanced if he left for Tennessee because he’d be in the AFC (and not playing for a division rival) and also be tutoring Seattle’s (UW Contingent) Favorite Son, Jake Locker.
Here’s how I see the percentages:
To San Francisco: 55%
To Tennessee: 25%
Stay in Seattle: 10%
Elsewhere: 10%
So, if Hasselbeck is gone, Seattle did not draft a QB over the weekend, and Charlie Whitehurst is the only guy under contract in Seattle, what now?
I’ll say this: the landscape is so barren that I am actually thinking that Matt Leinart would be a good option.
Here is a list that I found of the free agent QBs (minus Peyton Manning who isn’t going anywhere and of course minus Matt Hasselbeck):
- Kyle Boller (OAK)
- Marc Bulger (BAL)
- Kellen Clemens (NYJ)
- Kerry Collins (TEN)
- Todd Collins (CHI)
- Brodie Croyle (KC)
- Dennis Dixon (PIT)
- Trent Edwards (JAC)
- Bruce Gradkowski (OAK)
- Rex Grossman (WAS)
- Caleb Hanie (CHI)
- Tarvaris Jackson (MIN)
- Matt Leinart (HOU)
- Luke McCown (JAC)
- Matt Moore (CAR)
- Chad Pennington (MIA)
- Brady Quinn (DEN)
- Alex Smith (SF)
- Troy Smith (SF)
- Jim Sorgi (NYG)
- Drew Stanton (DET)
- Tyler Thigpen (MIA)
- Billy Volek (SD)
- Seneca Wallace (CLE)
I mean…
Wow. That’s a bad list. I was pining for Troy Smith before the Whitehurst trade last year and I would take him again, but he’s not “the future” for any franchise. But I do think that he’s more accurate and less erratic than Whitehurst. But that’s like arguing which TV show rots the mind less Basketball Wives or The Real Housewives of WhoCaresWhere. Honestly, what guy on that list would you want? Gun to my head I’m taking a flier on Matt Moore, Brodie Croyle, or Matt Leinart and then I’d ask you to pull the trigger because none of those guys is going to lead this team anywhere near .500.
So what’s the plan? Does Seattle have a trade in the works for Kevin Kolb? I guess that it’s possible, but for a team like Seattle that is so lacking in quality depth, it’s really risky to give up high draft choices (the only way to get Kolb) for a QB who is certainly good, but somewhat unproven as to how good. Seattle is not an enviable position especially in a division that many pooh-pooh, but who I think may actually get two teams into the playoffs in 2011 (if there is one). That’s right, the NFC West was and has been a laughingstock for awhile, but you heard it here first, the NFC West is going to nab one of the Wild Card slots (subject to change, of course…e.g. if Alex Smith is QB’ing San Francisco then forget I said anything).
Put it this way, if Seattle goes into the 2011 season with Whitehurst under center and any combination of the guys on the above list, you’re looking at a 4-12 to 6-10 season.
I like what the Seahawks did philosophically in the draft (heavy on o-line, heavy on DBs and defense generally) with the exception of not taking a QB (I was hoping for Ricky Stanzi late, but it wasn’t in the cards—and while I really like Andy Dalton, I completely understand the reason for going O-Line with their first pick, it probably would have been irresponsible not to). They needed help desperately on the offensive line and they addressed that with James Carpenter and John Moffit (whom I described on Twitter as Samuel L. Jackson’s wallet in Pulp Fiction). I think people would have been more excited had Seattle picked Gabe Carimi simply because that’s a name that people knew leading up to the draft and who was projected to go higher than he did (No. 29 to Chicago) but clearly Seattle didn’t like him that much (nor did Bill Parcells as we found out a few days before the draft). Here’s an interesting thing about Carpenter, on the Wednesday before the draft, the NFL Network’s Mike Lombardi was on Bill Simmons’s podcast. Simmons asked Lombardi what offensive linemen he liked and he said Carpenter, calling him the second-best tackle in the draft (not sure who he had first). So if you value Lombardi’s opinion, then you have to be happy with what Seattle did. I like that they drafted Kris Durham (although not in the fourth) a big WR (because with Whitehurst’s inaccuracy, you need big windows to throw to) but I love how he’s being labeled as a possession receiver because the guy averaged over 20 yards per catch at Georgia last year. People see a big (6’5), white receiver and automatically think “possession.” Well, he might be, but the guy was also timed at 4.43 at his pro day so do with that what you like.
And now the draft is over and I’m always a little bummed by that because of all the speculation and anticipation that goes into the process. Only this year my despair is heightened exponentially due to the moronic lockout. Please, fellas, figure if the fuck out.
http://blog.seattlepi.com/undraftedfreeagent/2011/05/02/the-post-matt-hasselbeck-era/