How is Taylor going to win? It better be a KO because he can't stay up for 12 rounds against Kelly IMO. Taylor isn't a KO kind of guy. Yes, he almost had Kelly knocked out in the first fight, but it was because Kelly was being stupid and dropping his gloves. I don't think he makes that mistake again.
Kelly 5th round KO.
I like Pavlik. I was going for him the first time.
This time around though, I just think Taylor is going to take it (which in the long run is good because I'd love a trilogy).
I think Taylor is going to KO Pavlik. My reasoning:
1). Taylor is the better boxer.
2). Taylor is more athletic and faster.
3). Taylor nearly KO'd Pavlik in the 2nd round, then gassed himself out. Yes, Pavlik sorta stuck his head out, but he was getting fuckin nailed immediately prior to that, which caused him to stick his head out and be cocky. I think it was going to happen regardless. That was a like a tiny, split second thing, that punch was going to hit him regardless.
4). Taylor went back to his OG trainer and got rid of Manny, whom he never really clicked with.
5). I personally think he lacked motivation for a while and losing to pavlik just might be the best thing for him at the moment. Call it a wake up call.
6). I don't think the extra weight will be much of a factor because Taylor made it clear b4 Pavlik he was going to move up to SMW because he was having trouble making MW.
Now, the only problem with this is that Taylor got KO'd (obviously), and the thing is, no one really knows how a fighter will respond immediately after, not even Taylor knows until he takes that first solid punch or two. Roy Jones got KO'd again after he got KO'd the first time, but on the other hand lots of fighters respond perfectly fine. It's an uncertainty. That's the main thing that makes me nervous about betting on the fight.
I'm leaning towards Taylor, but not by a lot. I'd say it's about 55/45 in his favor. Picking Pavlik is the safe bet, no doubt, but I just have a feeling...