Truckers take it to the streets in Europe (will they ever do the same thing here inUS

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Apr 25, 2002
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#21
Can't resist:

In today's energy report from EIA (Energy Information Administration) says that supplies of fuel such as gasoline, diesel, and heating oil rose and demand fell (for gas by as much as 1.3%).
 
Nov 24, 2003
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#23
The increase in price has nothing to do with demand because ACTUAL or REAL demand has not increased.
You have mentioned this before and I have yet to take issue with it, but you seem to keep reiterating this point.

I feel like I am typing the same thing over and over here.

Again, I have yet to suggest that as you say "actual" demand for oil has increased proportionally to the rise in prices.

I will state this for I believe the 4th time in this thread, the increase in prices is largely a result of indirect demand being created by investors on Wall St. The demand is indirect because they are not directly consuming the resource as someone who puts it in their car is.

However, whether or not they are actually using the resource, doesn't change the fact that what they are doing is influencing the demand side of the equation.

Just because they are speculating doesn't change the fact that their actions are influencing the demand side of the equation.

This is still an issue of unbalanced supply and demand regardless of what is the catalyst for the rise in demand.


Attached is a graph that shows Oil prices from Jan of '07 to Jan of '08. I challenge you to show any data that can show global ACTUAL demand for oil that comes close to corresponding with such a rise in price.
Again see above. I have yet to suggest that actual demand has increased enough to warrant the current rise in price.

A speculator is a person who “does not produce or use the commodity, but risks his or her own capital trading futures in that commodity in hopes of making a profit on price changes.”


Speculators are not investing in a tangible product. They are manipulating futures prices. My contention is that a futures contract bought by a speculator is not the same as demand for contracts for the delivery of a physical barrel today.
You are right, it is not the same. It is however still reflected on the demand side of the equation whether or not they are speculators or direct consumers.

The result is that by purchasing large numbers of futures contracts, and thereby pushing up futures prices to even higher levels than current prices, speculators have provided a financial incentive for oil companies to buy even more oil and place it in storage. A refiner will purchase extra oil today, even if it costs $115 per barrel, if the futures price is even higher.
That is the beauty of speculation, and our economic system. The truckers themselves could be buying oil futures to hedge against an increase in prices. The ability to speculate is not limited to Wall St.

http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=BWK&date=20080508&id=8603919

Hopefully you understand now that I have never suggested that actual demand had increased proportionally to the rise in prices. If you go back in read all of my posts I explicitly say that the increase has been cause by “indirect demand” (since speculators are not direct consumers) or “the demand side is being artificially balanced”.

The truckers are still protesting supply & demand economics here.

The protest is illogical.
 
Dec 27, 2002
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#24
That is the beauty of speculation, and our economic system. The truckers themselves could be buying oil futures to hedge against an increase in prices. The ability to speculate is not limited to Wall St.

...

The protest is illogical.
hilarious

protesting against high oil prices driven by an illogical cycle of speculation is not illogical but your suggestion to the truckers sure is.
 
Jul 10, 2002
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#25
As demand drops and fuel efficency increases, gas will go up. So what if a car gets 80mpg, gas will be $25/gallon at that point
 
Nov 24, 2003
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#26
hilarious

protesting against high oil prices driven by an illogical cycle of speculation is not illogical but your suggestion to the truckers sure is.

Ummm

Investors buy something. It goes up in value. They sell for a profit.

What exactly is "illogical" about that?

Maybe you want to try a different word there my friend?? :confused:
 
Dec 27, 2002
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#27
nope. i didn't say that speculation in and of itself is illogical; engaging in and thereby perpetuating this particular 'vicious cycle' of speculation is illogical, given the interrelatedness of the strength of the US dollar/economy and the price of / investment in oil.
 
Apr 25, 2002
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#28
Those labor protests reflect the hit millions of Europeans are taking at the gas pump. As American drivers groan over prices nearing $4 a gallon, the French are paying $8.67 for a gallon of super, compared to $7.10 in January, 2007. A gallon of diesel in French gas stations averages $8.54, up from $5.35 just a year ago. And in the U.K. diesel costs $11.50 per gallon, compared to around $3.90 in the U.S. Across the European Union, the average cost of a gallon of gas runs to about $8.70 — more than twice what Americans are shelling out to fill up. And Europe's dizzying fuel costs would be even worse if it weren't for the considerable appreciation of the euro and the British pound against the dollar over the past year, which has partially offset the price escalation in dollar-traded oil.

One big reason for the difference is that European governments put a much higher tax burden on fuel than the U.S. does. State and federal taxes currently make up just 11% of the pump price in the U.S., according to the Energy Information Administration; in France and the U.K., taxes account for an average of around 70%.
http://www.time.com/time/world/artic...809900,00.html
 

ThaG

Sicc OG
Jun 30, 2005
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#29
As demand drops and fuel efficency increases, gas will go up. So what if a car gets 80mpg, gas will be $25/gallon at that point
Demand drops in the US

Worldwide it increase because of India and China and many governments (includign the Chinese) subsudizing fuels

So the price will only go up and demand destruction in the USA will not have much of effect
 

ThaG

Sicc OG
Jun 30, 2005
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#30
Thats great and all, but arent you a front runner for global climate change? Are you saying that oil is the LEAST harmful way of powering the world and that no matter what, were are doomed?

It seems pretty condescending to me..
Where did Isay that?

The least harmful fossil fuel is gas, next is oil, last is coal (lignite coal being the worst)

Cleanest plausible energy sources are sun and fusion. We have no time to develop the technology for latter and again no time (and maybe resources) to scale up the already existing technology for the former before the collapes unfolds (it has already started)

So we are doomed, yes


The problem is that way back when, oil was discovered and it was found to be a cheap way to use a fossil fuel. THe problem with that is, they had NO CLUE as to what the backlash to that would be. Now, becuase oil has been used regularly over the last century, it has become the standard in power. Now, we are bascially STUCK with it.
The problem is the short-term profit-seeking mentality that resulted in an infrastructure that is not only entirely dependent on oil but making it almost impossible to make a peaceful transition to a non-carbon economy. Add the population explosion, the low level of education and awareness of the situation of the vast majority of the 7billion people on this planet and you are in for a disaster

You see truckers protesting prices, how many of them are aware of the real reasons for them? Probably none.

And now im not so sure its even the cheapest way. Since when is $4.35 a gallon cheap?
Since the time it became clear that it will become 10, 20 and even more than that and this is just a matter of time