Well I correctly predicted the house would take 2/3 odds on the NFL opener last night, unfortunately I did not predict the correct 2/3 and lost my money line bet on the Bare naked ladies
I did learn a very valuable gambling lesson: I saw where the sharp money was and didn't even know I was looking at sharp money. Two days ago, the percentage of money on GB Spread, GB Money Line, and under were >90%. By 8a yesterday, the Bears were favorites by bettors in both SP and ML. Also, the O/U became more centered, meaning the joes started piling in on the over and the Bears. All things being equal, the sharps made out on all 3 lines and the casinos took 2/3.
The sharps hit soft lines early.
I did learn a very valuable gambling lesson: I saw where the sharp money was and didn't even know I was looking at sharp money. Two days ago, the percentage of money on GB Spread, GB Money Line, and under were >90%. By 8a yesterday, the Bears were favorites by bettors in both SP and ML. Also, the O/U became more centered, meaning the joes started piling in on the over and the Bears. All things being equal, the sharps made out on all 3 lines and the casinos took 2/3.
The sharps hit soft lines early.