Nolan, 49ers seek immediate help from draft class
At the end of this season, one of two things is going to happen: 49ers coach Mike Nolan will be given a contract extension or he'll be fired. Pretty simple, eh?
This is the fourth year of Nolan's five-year contract. So, either way, something is going to happen. (It's extremely rare for a coach to enter the final year of his contract, and 49ers ownership certainly will not allow it to happen.)
Although Scot McCloughan's finger is on the trigger for personnel moves, Nolan will still have a voice when it comes to making decisions. That's why I expect the 49ers to draft players - at least through the first four rounds - who can provide immediate assistance.
Any linebacker chosen will have a chance to start in the season opener; any defensive lineman should be able to immediately step into the rotation; and any offensive lineman has a strong chance to log games as a starter.
In many mocks, the 49ers are shown choosing a wide receiver. The thing about wide receivers is that they are rarely productive as rookies. Oh, sure, the top guys can be really good. But, heck, even Calvin Johnson last year was fourth on his team, the Lions, in receptions and third in receiving yards.
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Here's a quick glance at what some of today's top receivers contributed as rookies:
Reggie Wayne 27 catches, 345 yards, 0 touchdowns
Chad Johnson 28-329-1
Braylon Edwards 32-512-3
Roddy White 29-446-3
Steve Smith 10-154-0
Bernard Berrian 15-225-2
Brandon Marshall 20-309-2
T.J. Houshmanzadeh 21-228-0
The Marques Colstons of the world are extremely rare. (He was a seventh-round pick in 2006 who was a 1,000-yard receiver as a rookie). Only four rookies ranked in the league's top 100 in receptions last season.
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Here's a position-by-position glance at the 49ers' draft needs, which was scheduled to run in today's Press Democrat:
Quarterbacks
Who's here: Alex Smith, Shaun Hill, J.T. O'Sullivan, Drew Olson.
Draft needs: The organization is still committed to Smith, who experienced a lost season due to a separated throwing shoulder. There are still legitimate questions whether he can develop into a capable NFL quarterback. That is why Hill will be given an opportunity to compete for the starting job. New offensive coordinator Mike Martz says he likes what he sees from Smith and Hill. Martz also hand-picked the No. 3 quarterback, J.T. O'Sullivan, whom he tutored last season with the Detroit Lions. If the 49ers take a flier on a quarterback, it'll probably be in the later rounds.
Running backs
Who's here: RB Frank Gore, FB Moran Norris, RB DeShaun Foster, RB Michael Robinson, RB Thomas Clayton and FB Zak Keasey,
Draft needs: Gore and Foster give the 49ers a good one-two punch at running back. However, the 49ers will look to grab a short-yardage back in the middle-to-late rounds. Someone along the lines of Jacob Hester (Louisiana State) or Peyton Hillis (Arkansas) would give the 49ers what they need. The club has struggled in recent seasons converting short-yardage situations.
Wide receivers
Who's here: Isaac Bruce, Bryant Johnson, Arnaz Battle, Jason Hill, Ashley Lelie, Dominique Zeigler and Jerard Rabb.
Draft needs: This could go either way. The 49ers might use their first-rounder on a receiver or they could wait until the middle rounds to mine for someone who fits Martz's system. Bruce certainly isn't a long-term answer, and Johnson is under contract for just one season. The team needs to find a young, playmaker (Hill?). They haven't had one since Terrell Owens left town.
Tight ends
Who's here: Vernon Davis, Delanie Walker, Billy Bajema and Cooper Wallace.
Draft needs: The 49ers expect Davis to have a breakout season with Martz devising ways to get the ball in his hands. The 49ers have no needs at this position. Davis has the potential to be explosive in the passing game, and he's a terrific blocker. Walker is a nice receiving threat, while Bajema is a blocking specialist.
Offensive linemen
Who's here: LT Joe Staley, LG Adam Snyder, C Eric Heitmann, RG David Baas, RT Jonas Jennings, G/C Tony Wragge, T Damane Duckett, G Qasim Mitchell and T Jeb Terry.
Draft needs: After the starting five, the line is extremely thin. The 49ers would jump at the chance to take an offensive lineman with the No. 29 pick. Heck, don't be surprised if they invest two picks in the first four rounds on offensive linemen. Gosder Cherilus (Boston College) and Sam Baker (USC) are definite possibilities at No. 29. Because the draft class is deep in this area, the 49ers will look to pick up two linemen along the way.
Defensive linemen
Who's here: DE/NT Isaac Sopoaga, NT Aubrayo Franklin, DE Justin Smith, DE Ray McDonald, DE/NT Ronald Fields, DE Melvin Oliver, NT Joe Cohen, DE Walter Curry, and DE Atiyyah Ellison.
Draft needs: The 49ers plan to move Sopoaga to left end. He would join Franklin and Smith in the starting lineup. The 49ers still need more depth to fill out the rotation and cover themselves in case of injuries. Kentwan Balmer (North Carolina) could be available when the 49ers pick in the first round. The 49ers also liked Trevor Laws of Notre Dame. If he's around in the second round, he will merit serious consideration.
Linebackers
Who's here: OLB Manny Lawson, ILB Patrick Willis, ILB Dontarrious Thomas, OLB Tully Banta-Cain, OLB Parys Haralson, ILB Brandon Moore, ILB Jeff Ulbrich, OLB Jay Moore, OLB Roderick Green and ILB Dennis Haley.
Draft needs: Banta-Cain and Haralson failed to deliver a consistent pass rush for the 49ers last season, as they combined for just six sacks. Lawson is back this season after a knee injury, but he has not shown any ability to rush the passer at this level. That is why the 49ers might opt for an outside pass rusher - someone such as Quentin Groves (Auburn). McCloughan personally scouted Groves' pro day last month. Groves also visited the 49ers' facility Friday to meet with the staff. The 49ers could also look to find an inside linebacker, such as Curtis Lofton (Oklahoma) to play alongside Willis.
Defensive backs
Who's here: CB Nate Clements, CB Walt Harris, S Michael Lewis, S Mark Roman, CB Shawntae Spencer, S Dashon Goldson, CB Marcus Hudson, CB Donald Strickland, S Keith Lewis, CB Tarell Brown and S Markus Curry.
Draft needs: In today's NFL, there is no such thing as having too many defensive backs. It's not completely out of the realm of possibility the 49ers could use one of their top two picks to bolster their situation in the secondary.
Specialists
Who's here: K Joe Nedney, P Andy Lee, LS Brian Jennings, RS Allen Rossum and P/K Ricky Schmitt
Draft needs: There are no needs here. Nedney is solid, and Lee represented the NFC in the Pro Bowl. If the 49ers select a receiver with return skills, Rossum might have competition to hang onto the job.