Niner News Thread
- Thread starter Chree
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Jim Harbaugh captured the wrong kind of attention with that handshake controversy. His San Francisco 49ers had just toppled the undefeated Lions, 25-19, in Week 6 when Harbaugh's postgame meet-and-greet with Detroit coach Jim Schwartz nearly descended into fisticuffs.
The ugly WWE-style incident was an unfortunate end to an otherwise great contest between two up-and-coming teams.
It was a particularly unfortunate turn of events for the winning coach. His irrational exuberance overshadowed what should be one of the big stories of the 2011 season: The 49ers, under their rookie head man, are the best-coached team in football right now.
That's right. No coach has his team playing smarter or more efficiently than Harbaugh.
Many analysts try to judge the quality of coaching with the eye test. The Cold, Hard Football Facts can quantify San Francisco's razor-sharp performances with something very tangible: We can measure the quality of coaching with the harsh, inalterable reality of raw numbers.
Quantifying Team-Wide Efficiency
We track each NFL team in two key measures of efficiency. We call them Scoreability (offensive efficiency) and Bendability (defensive efficiency), which quantifies the bend-but-don't-break phenomenon. These are two of our Quality Stats, indicators that have a direct correlation to winning football games.
Each indicator takes into account a variety of factors that go into winning football, including proficiency of special teams, field position, red zone offense and defense, penalties, third-down offense and defense and turnover differential, and spits out those performances in an easy-to-understand number.
Essentially, we measure how each team performs in so-called "situational football." Put most simply, Scoreability and Bendability tell us which teams are smart and well-coached and which teams are not.
And no team right now is smarter or more well-coached than Harbaugh's 49ers:
• No. 1 in Scoreability through Week 7.
• No. 1 in Bendability through Week 7.
Harbaugh's team is boldly sailing into uncharted waters of efficiency. Since we began tracking these indicators in 2004, no team has ranked No. 1 in both offensive and defensive efficiency.
Keep in mind that these measures are much more than just intellectual exercises by stat geeks far removed from the sidelines. Proficiency in these indicators is critical to team success: teams that win the Scoreability-Bendability battle of efficiency are 83-20 (.806) through Week 7, including an incredible 23-3 in the last two weeks (.885).
In other words, smart, efficient teams win football games. Dumb, inefficient teams lose football games. (We track the Correlation to Victory of these and many other stats at CHFF Insider.)
Harbaugh's 49ers are 5-1 and the surprise story of 2011 because they are the smartest, most efficient in football.
A Record Pace Of Scoring Efficiency
We measure each team's Scoreabilty through Yards Per Point Scored -- how many yards you need to score the equivalent of a single point. The lower the number, the better.
No team has scored more efficiently than the 49ers. San Francisco has produced a meager 1,815 yards of offense. But it has still managed to hang 167 points on the scoreboard. That's an incredible 10.87 Yards Per Point Scored. In other words, the 49ers are good for about one point with each first down.
Not only is that performance No. 1 here in 2011, it's on pace to set the record for scoring efficiency held by the 2007 Patriots. That 16-0 New England team needed just 11.17 Yards Per Point Scored.
The 2011 Patriots, meanwhile, help put in perspective the incredible efficiency of Harbaugh's crew. Bill Belichick's team has generated 2,847 yards of offense this year -- 1,032 more yards than the 49ers in just six games. But the Patriots have scored just 18 points more.
The highly prolific Patriots are wasting a lot of yards, leaving a lot of points on the field and failing to generate points from units other than the offense -- especially when compared with the 49ers.
The importance of efficiency is far more dramatic if we put Scoreability in the context of touchdowns.
The 49ers need just 76.1 yards of offense to score the equivalent of 7 points. The St. Louis Rams are dead last in Scoreability: they need 225.9 yards of offense to score the equivalent of 7 points.
Wow, what a difference! There is little wasted effort out of the well-oiled San Francisco machine. The Rams, meanwhile, are riddled with poor field position, poor execution and poor situational football.
Believe it or not, 5-1 San Francisco and 0-6 St. Louis are almost dead even in total offense: 1,815 yards for the 49ers; 1,807 for the Rams. But the 49ers have scored 167 points; the Rams have scored just 56. The winless St. Louis offense spins its wheels week after week, loss after loss.
Generating yards does not win NFL games, which is why it's a waste of time for analysts to rank units by total offense or total defense. Instead, winning in the NFL is all about what you do with that output.
Smart, well-coached teams maximize their production. Harbaugh's 49ers are getting the ball in good field position, they're playing smartly in the red zone and on special teams and they're not coughing up the football in bad situations.
(Note: Scoreability counts ALL points, not just those generated by the offense. The scoreboard does not care how those points get there, only that they do. Well-coached teams score points as many ways as possible. Scoreabilty rewards teams for proficiency in all phases of the game; Bendability applies the same rules to defense.)
Football's Best "Bend But Don't Break" Defense
The same benefit of efficiency applies to defense, where San Francisco is No. 1 in Bendability. They force opponents to march a spirit-killing 20.76 Yards Per Point Allowed.
In the context of touchdowns, San Francisco's opponents need 145.3 yards of offense to put 7 points on the board. They have the best "bend-but-don't-break" defense in football. Opponents may generate a lot of yards, but they do very little with all that effort.
Now compare San Francisco's very bendable defense to the peanut-butter-brittle unit fielded by the winless Colts. Indy opponents need just 90.6 yards of offense to score the equivalent of a touchdown.
In other words, statistically speaking, almost every drive against the Colts results in a touchdown. In the case of the 62-7 loss to New Orleans on Sunday, this statistical phenomenon was on-field reality: the Saints scored on every drive but their last one.
It was a virtuoso performance of efficiency: New Orleans needed just 8.98 Yards Per Point Scored. But even then, it was only slightly more efficient than San Francisco's performance all year along (10.17 Yards Per Point Scored).
The 49ers do all the little things right to make life tough for opposing offenses: they put them in bad situations, make them march long distances, win the turnover battle, and stiffen in the red zone.
Harbaugh's 49ers are playing smart, efficient situational football in all phases of the game heading into their Week 8 visit from Cleveland. And it's this quality of play that's the biggest reason the 6-10 49ers of 2010 are 5-1 today.
Models Of Inefficiency
The 49ers may not be more talented than their opponents. But they're winning games because they're smarter than the other guys.
Conversely, the NFL each year gives us seemingly talented teams that fail to live up to expectations.
If you see a talented but under-achieving team, turn immediately to Scoreability and Bendabilty and there you will see what's wrong with said team. In almost every instance, these talented underachievers play stupid football.
Norv Turner's Chargers are a prime example of a team that consistently possesses boatloads of talent but that fails to live up to expectations.
The 2010 Chargers, for example, were No. 1 in both total offense and total defense. Yet they went 9-7 and failed to make the playoffs. The problem? The consistently dumb, inefficient Chargers ranked No. 28 in Bendability, meaning they surrendered a lot of cheap points that made it hard to win games.
The 2011 Chargers are even worse: No. 31 in Bendability. Only the winless Colts surrender more cheap points.
The Philadelphia Eagles are the poster child of a talented but dumb football team here in 2011. They seem to have all the pieces in place, including game-breakers all over the field -- to the point that they were dubbed the "Dream Team" after cleaning up in the free-agent market.
But the Eagles are just 2-4 and dead last in the tough NFC East.
The problems in Philadelphia are easy to diagnose: this talented "Dream Team" is the worst in the NFL at situational football.
The Eagles rank No. 28 in both Scoreability (18.28 Yards Per Point Scored) and Bendability (14.12 Yards Per Point Allowed).
They waste a lot of effort on offense, generating yards with little to show for it. Then they compound the problems on defense, by giving up a lot of cheap points that make it hard to win games.
Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/20...10/26/49ers.coaching/index.html#ixzz1bvlDZKH8
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/kerry_byrne/10/26/49ers.coaching/index.html?xid=si_nfl
from here^^^ srry if repost
The ugly WWE-style incident was an unfortunate end to an otherwise great contest between two up-and-coming teams.
It was a particularly unfortunate turn of events for the winning coach. His irrational exuberance overshadowed what should be one of the big stories of the 2011 season: The 49ers, under their rookie head man, are the best-coached team in football right now.
That's right. No coach has his team playing smarter or more efficiently than Harbaugh.
Many analysts try to judge the quality of coaching with the eye test. The Cold, Hard Football Facts can quantify San Francisco's razor-sharp performances with something very tangible: We can measure the quality of coaching with the harsh, inalterable reality of raw numbers.
Quantifying Team-Wide Efficiency
We track each NFL team in two key measures of efficiency. We call them Scoreability (offensive efficiency) and Bendability (defensive efficiency), which quantifies the bend-but-don't-break phenomenon. These are two of our Quality Stats, indicators that have a direct correlation to winning football games.
Each indicator takes into account a variety of factors that go into winning football, including proficiency of special teams, field position, red zone offense and defense, penalties, third-down offense and defense and turnover differential, and spits out those performances in an easy-to-understand number.
Essentially, we measure how each team performs in so-called "situational football." Put most simply, Scoreability and Bendability tell us which teams are smart and well-coached and which teams are not.
And no team right now is smarter or more well-coached than Harbaugh's 49ers:
• No. 1 in Scoreability through Week 7.
• No. 1 in Bendability through Week 7.
Harbaugh's team is boldly sailing into uncharted waters of efficiency. Since we began tracking these indicators in 2004, no team has ranked No. 1 in both offensive and defensive efficiency.
Keep in mind that these measures are much more than just intellectual exercises by stat geeks far removed from the sidelines. Proficiency in these indicators is critical to team success: teams that win the Scoreability-Bendability battle of efficiency are 83-20 (.806) through Week 7, including an incredible 23-3 in the last two weeks (.885).
In other words, smart, efficient teams win football games. Dumb, inefficient teams lose football games. (We track the Correlation to Victory of these and many other stats at CHFF Insider.)
Harbaugh's 49ers are 5-1 and the surprise story of 2011 because they are the smartest, most efficient in football.
A Record Pace Of Scoring Efficiency
We measure each team's Scoreabilty through Yards Per Point Scored -- how many yards you need to score the equivalent of a single point. The lower the number, the better.
No team has scored more efficiently than the 49ers. San Francisco has produced a meager 1,815 yards of offense. But it has still managed to hang 167 points on the scoreboard. That's an incredible 10.87 Yards Per Point Scored. In other words, the 49ers are good for about one point with each first down.
Not only is that performance No. 1 here in 2011, it's on pace to set the record for scoring efficiency held by the 2007 Patriots. That 16-0 New England team needed just 11.17 Yards Per Point Scored.
The 2011 Patriots, meanwhile, help put in perspective the incredible efficiency of Harbaugh's crew. Bill Belichick's team has generated 2,847 yards of offense this year -- 1,032 more yards than the 49ers in just six games. But the Patriots have scored just 18 points more.
The highly prolific Patriots are wasting a lot of yards, leaving a lot of points on the field and failing to generate points from units other than the offense -- especially when compared with the 49ers.
The importance of efficiency is far more dramatic if we put Scoreability in the context of touchdowns.
The 49ers need just 76.1 yards of offense to score the equivalent of 7 points. The St. Louis Rams are dead last in Scoreability: they need 225.9 yards of offense to score the equivalent of 7 points.
Wow, what a difference! There is little wasted effort out of the well-oiled San Francisco machine. The Rams, meanwhile, are riddled with poor field position, poor execution and poor situational football.
Believe it or not, 5-1 San Francisco and 0-6 St. Louis are almost dead even in total offense: 1,815 yards for the 49ers; 1,807 for the Rams. But the 49ers have scored 167 points; the Rams have scored just 56. The winless St. Louis offense spins its wheels week after week, loss after loss.
Generating yards does not win NFL games, which is why it's a waste of time for analysts to rank units by total offense or total defense. Instead, winning in the NFL is all about what you do with that output.
Smart, well-coached teams maximize their production. Harbaugh's 49ers are getting the ball in good field position, they're playing smartly in the red zone and on special teams and they're not coughing up the football in bad situations.
(Note: Scoreability counts ALL points, not just those generated by the offense. The scoreboard does not care how those points get there, only that they do. Well-coached teams score points as many ways as possible. Scoreabilty rewards teams for proficiency in all phases of the game; Bendability applies the same rules to defense.)
Football's Best "Bend But Don't Break" Defense
The same benefit of efficiency applies to defense, where San Francisco is No. 1 in Bendability. They force opponents to march a spirit-killing 20.76 Yards Per Point Allowed.
In the context of touchdowns, San Francisco's opponents need 145.3 yards of offense to put 7 points on the board. They have the best "bend-but-don't-break" defense in football. Opponents may generate a lot of yards, but they do very little with all that effort.
Now compare San Francisco's very bendable defense to the peanut-butter-brittle unit fielded by the winless Colts. Indy opponents need just 90.6 yards of offense to score the equivalent of a touchdown.
In other words, statistically speaking, almost every drive against the Colts results in a touchdown. In the case of the 62-7 loss to New Orleans on Sunday, this statistical phenomenon was on-field reality: the Saints scored on every drive but their last one.
It was a virtuoso performance of efficiency: New Orleans needed just 8.98 Yards Per Point Scored. But even then, it was only slightly more efficient than San Francisco's performance all year along (10.17 Yards Per Point Scored).
The 49ers do all the little things right to make life tough for opposing offenses: they put them in bad situations, make them march long distances, win the turnover battle, and stiffen in the red zone.
Harbaugh's 49ers are playing smart, efficient situational football in all phases of the game heading into their Week 8 visit from Cleveland. And it's this quality of play that's the biggest reason the 6-10 49ers of 2010 are 5-1 today.
Models Of Inefficiency
The 49ers may not be more talented than their opponents. But they're winning games because they're smarter than the other guys.
Conversely, the NFL each year gives us seemingly talented teams that fail to live up to expectations.
If you see a talented but under-achieving team, turn immediately to Scoreability and Bendabilty and there you will see what's wrong with said team. In almost every instance, these talented underachievers play stupid football.
Norv Turner's Chargers are a prime example of a team that consistently possesses boatloads of talent but that fails to live up to expectations.
The 2010 Chargers, for example, were No. 1 in both total offense and total defense. Yet they went 9-7 and failed to make the playoffs. The problem? The consistently dumb, inefficient Chargers ranked No. 28 in Bendability, meaning they surrendered a lot of cheap points that made it hard to win games.
The 2011 Chargers are even worse: No. 31 in Bendability. Only the winless Colts surrender more cheap points.
The Philadelphia Eagles are the poster child of a talented but dumb football team here in 2011. They seem to have all the pieces in place, including game-breakers all over the field -- to the point that they were dubbed the "Dream Team" after cleaning up in the free-agent market.
But the Eagles are just 2-4 and dead last in the tough NFC East.
The problems in Philadelphia are easy to diagnose: this talented "Dream Team" is the worst in the NFL at situational football.
The Eagles rank No. 28 in both Scoreability (18.28 Yards Per Point Scored) and Bendability (14.12 Yards Per Point Allowed).
They waste a lot of effort on offense, generating yards with little to show for it. Then they compound the problems on defense, by giving up a lot of cheap points that make it hard to win games.
Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/20...10/26/49ers.coaching/index.html#ixzz1bvlDZKH8
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/kerry_byrne/10/26/49ers.coaching/index.html?xid=si_nfl
from here^^^ srry if repost
Here is a list of the 49ers whose contracts are scheduled expire at the end of this season:
Signed through 2011
OT Alex Boone (EFA)
CB Tramaine Brock (EFA)
LB Ahmad Brooks
LB Blake Costanzo
WR Braylon Edwards
WR Ted Ginn Jr.
S Dashon Goldson
LB Tavares Gooden
LB Larry Grant (RFA)
WR Joshua Morgan
TE Justin Peelle
RG Chilo Rachal
CB Carlos Rogers
FB Moran Norris
QB Alex Smith
S Reggie Smith
OL Adam Snyder
DB C.J. Spillman (RFA)
WR Brett Swain
DT Will Tukuafu (EFA)
S Madieu Williams
Read more: 49ers hope to work out contract extensions
Tune to SportsNet Central at 6, 10:30 and midnight on Comcast SportsNet Bay Area for more on this story
who I'd like to see next season!
Signed through 2011
OT Alex Boone (EFA)
CB Tramaine Brock (EFA)
LB Ahmad Brooks
LB Blake Costanzo
WR Braylon Edwards
WR Ted Ginn Jr.
S Dashon Goldson
LB Tavares Gooden
LB Larry Grant (RFA)
WR Joshua Morgan
TE Justin Peelle
RG Chilo Rachal
CB Carlos Rogers
FB Moran Norris
QB Alex Smith
S Reggie Smith
OL Adam Snyder
DB C.J. Spillman (RFA)
WR Brett Swain
DT Will Tukuafu (EFA)
S Madieu Williams
Read more: 49ers hope to work out contract extensions
Tune to SportsNet Central at 6, 10:30 and midnight on Comcast SportsNet Bay Area for more on this story
who I'd like to see next season!
Defense hits top of NFL charts
he 49ers not only woke up Monday with a 6-1 record — second only to the unbeaten Green Bay Packers (7-0) — but they also have climbed the NFL ladder in two very critical categories: The 49ers rank first in points allowed per game (15.3) and in rushing yards allowed (73.4).
The Cleveland Browns helped that cause Sunday, losing 20-10 at Candlestick and running for 66 yards, the same total gained by the Detroit Lions in their 25-19 loss to the 49ers on Oct. 16.
The 49ers have held their past three opponents — and five of seven — to under 20 points. The only team to rush for more than 100 yards was the Philadelphia Eagles, with 20 carries for 108 yards in the 49ers’ 24-23 comeback win on Oct. 2.
Here is a stat that defines the defense’s run dominance: No running back has had a carry longer than 15 yards. Point of clarification: Michael Vick, the Eagles’ scrambling quarterback, dashed for 24 yards in that Oct. 2 win. But the longest rush by a running back was Ronnie Brown’s 15-yard jaunt in that same game.
More publicized is the 49ers’ streak of 29 consecutive games of not allowing a 100-yard rusher, the league’s longest active streak. It is tied for the fifth-longest stretch since 2000. That list:
1. 39 games, Ravens (2006-09)
2. 36 games, Vikings (2007-09)
3. 32 games, Steelers (2007-09)
4. 30 games, Steelers (2005-07)
5. (tie) 29 games, 49ers (2009-present), Ravens (2000-01)
he 49ers not only woke up Monday with a 6-1 record — second only to the unbeaten Green Bay Packers (7-0) — but they also have climbed the NFL ladder in two very critical categories: The 49ers rank first in points allowed per game (15.3) and in rushing yards allowed (73.4).
The Cleveland Browns helped that cause Sunday, losing 20-10 at Candlestick and running for 66 yards, the same total gained by the Detroit Lions in their 25-19 loss to the 49ers on Oct. 16.
The 49ers have held their past three opponents — and five of seven — to under 20 points. The only team to rush for more than 100 yards was the Philadelphia Eagles, with 20 carries for 108 yards in the 49ers’ 24-23 comeback win on Oct. 2.
Here is a stat that defines the defense’s run dominance: No running back has had a carry longer than 15 yards. Point of clarification: Michael Vick, the Eagles’ scrambling quarterback, dashed for 24 yards in that Oct. 2 win. But the longest rush by a running back was Ronnie Brown’s 15-yard jaunt in that same game.
More publicized is the 49ers’ streak of 29 consecutive games of not allowing a 100-yard rusher, the league’s longest active streak. It is tied for the fifth-longest stretch since 2000. That list:
1. 39 games, Ravens (2006-09)
2. 36 games, Vikings (2007-09)
3. 32 games, Steelers (2007-09)
4. 30 games, Steelers (2005-07)
5. (tie) 29 games, 49ers (2009-present), Ravens (2000-01)
For the stat freaks: Niners vs. Browns
Getting back to their winning ways the 49ers are establishing a raft of positive statistics, some of which have not been seen since the 1990′s. Here’s a sampling, which were mostly assembled by the team’s cracker jack P.R. staff.
The 49ers are 6-1 for the first time since 1998.
This is their first five-game winning streak since 2001.
49ers went undefeated in October for the first time since 1997. In their previous eight Octobers, the 49ers were a combined 5-26.
The 49ers have not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 29 straight games. Only three teams have had longer streaks.
This is the fourth time the 49ers have knocked the starting running back out of the game (Montario Hardesty, Jahvid Best, LeGarrette Blount and Felix Jones).
Frank Gore is the only running back this year to go over 125 yards four times.
Parys Haralson is tied for the NFL lead in forced fumbles with three.
The 49ers rank first in passes defended with 54.
Aldon Smith has a sack in four straight games and 6.5 for the season.
Vernon Davis’ 66th-straight starts ranks him behind Tony Gonzalez (77) and Jason Whitten (74) for the most among active tight ends.
Getting back to their winning ways the 49ers are establishing a raft of positive statistics, some of which have not been seen since the 1990′s. Here’s a sampling, which were mostly assembled by the team’s cracker jack P.R. staff.
The 49ers are 6-1 for the first time since 1998.
This is their first five-game winning streak since 2001.
49ers went undefeated in October for the first time since 1997. In their previous eight Octobers, the 49ers were a combined 5-26.
The 49ers have not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 29 straight games. Only three teams have had longer streaks.
This is the fourth time the 49ers have knocked the starting running back out of the game (Montario Hardesty, Jahvid Best, LeGarrette Blount and Felix Jones).
Frank Gore is the only running back this year to go over 125 yards four times.
Parys Haralson is tied for the NFL lead in forced fumbles with three.
The 49ers rank first in passes defended with 54.
Aldon Smith has a sack in four straight games and 6.5 for the season.
Vernon Davis’ 66th-straight starts ranks him behind Tony Gonzalez (77) and Jason Whitten (74) for the most among active tight ends.
I cant wait to see a legit QB here in Frisco and see the damage done..there where passes on Sunday deep ones to Crabtree that just better touch the game would be a blow out im not sold on Alex and only way Colin gets in is if Alex goes down for a injury..but the way the rolling im happy just knows our passing game of our QB has to step up
honestly though we haven't had to pass to win games, when ever we have to do it though Smith has shown he lacks no confidence in the 4th quarter. He will win games with his arm. For example Detroit, Dallas, and Philly. I know we lost to Dallas but he was picking apart the Dallas defense most of the game, our secondary just couldn't contain romo. Not saying Smith is a pro bowl caliber QB, but he is definitely not the weakest link on this squad.