Maiocco: Is Singletary the Problem?
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Niners president and CEO Jed York fired off a text message to ESPN's Adam Schefter Monday morning. He guaranteed the 49ers would win the NFC West title this season.
Oh, brother. Here we go again.
The 49ers have made a lot of promises and guarantees since 2003. I'm not sure they have delivered on any of them. The 49ers have repeatedly told their fan base of the great things ahead for the franchise.
The 49ers are 0-5. The Raiders, fresh off a victory over the San Diego Chargers, are next on the schedule.
Coach Mike Singletary is expected to take the lectern for his 11:45 a.m. press conference today. That would mean he'll remain in his position for at least another week -- at least through the 49ers' home game Sunday against the Raiders.
At this point, nothing could possibly come as a surprise around the 49ers. Quarterback Alex Smith might or might not be benched. Singletary might or might not remain as head coach for the remainder of the season.
Singletary's performance has come under a lot of scrutiny, and for good reason. The 49ers have progressively gotten worse under his watch. Singletary had a 5-4 record in 2008 after taking over when Mike Nolan was fired. The 49ers were 8-8 last year, and now they're 0-5. Singletary's record is 13-17. The club has shown an uncanny propensity for making critical mistakes at inopportune times.
But does sacking the head coach solve the real problem with the organization? After all, the 49ers' last winning season was 2002. The club won the NFC West with a 10-6 record, and won a playoff game. Steve Mariucci's reward as head coach of the 2002 team was a pink slip.
Under the direction of John York and, now, Jed York, the 49ers have not experienced success with three different head coaches that followed Mariucci and three different personnel chiefs. (Of course, Trent Baalke is still new on the job, so we should leave him out of it.)
Is changing the head coach really the answer for the 49ers at this stage in the season? Let's take a look:
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The Case to Fire the Head Coach
--Singletary's vision for the offense seems archaic. He interviewed some quality candidates for the 49ers' offensive coordinator position in January 2009. But Scott Linehan and Clyde Christensen wanted no part of the restrictions Singletary put in place for the offensive coordinator.
Singletary hired Jimmy Raye, who said he could give the 49ers what the head coach wanted. Singletary fired Raye on Sept. 27, and replacement Mike Johnson -- while showing more variations -- is progressing with a run-first mentality.
--Singletary is hands-off as a head coach. His coordinators devise the game strategy. The 49ers' have shown an alarming lack of attention to detail. Singletary's primary contribution is motivational speaking. The 49ers have heard his message over and over, and he does not seem to have any answers.
--Singletary has not always been a good representative of the 49ers' organization in ways that do not involve winning or losing. He has made a series of emotional and immature mistakes.
He refused to shake hands with Atlanta Falcons head coach Mike Smith after the 49ers' last-second loss on Oct. 3. And he got angry to questions from KPIX's Dennis O'Donnell during an interview in the second week. Singletary heard something in O'Donnell's questions that nobody else interpreted. Later, Singletary said he was "baited."
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The Case to Retain the Head Coach
--How much of what's happened is Singletary's fault? Is Singletary really the main issue?
Was it his fault Frank Gore fumbled twice Sunday night and the defense couldn't tackle LeSean McCoy or Kevin Kolb? Was it his fault Joe Nedney missed a 40-yard field goal? Was it Singletary's fault that Alex Smith could not hold onto the ball before throwing it out of bounds to avoid a sack?
Should Singletary be held accountable for the bad individual plays that keep preventing the 49ers from winning games? (Or is he wound so tightly the players start pressing?)
--There is still time for the 49ers to make this season interesting. Of course, the 49ers are 0-5. The club would have to win eight of its final 11 games just to match last year's .500 record. We know the NFC West is not a great division, but the Cardinals are 3-2 after a home victory against the New Orleans Saints.
--The 49ers would not be able to hire a head coach from outside in the middle of the season, so the team would have to promote an interim coach from within to finish the season. Greg Manusky and Johnson have their hands full as the coordinators. Offensive line coach Mike Solari is preoccupied trying to mold two rookies into serviceable players.
Defensive line coach Jim Tomsula is the only coach who has head-coaching experience (Rhein Fire of now-defunct NFL Europe, 2006). Other veteran coaches on the staff are Johnnie Lynn (special assistant to head coach/secondary), Jerry Sullivan (wide receivers/senior assistant), Pete Hoener (tight ends) and Tom Rathman (running backs).
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What is obvious, based on the crowd reaction at Candlestick Park on Sunday, is that the fans have finally had enough. And it's going to take a lot more than than a hollow guarantee to appease them.