HiT-2-TiMeS said:
They predict numbers. I am calling it data. The computer programs do not just say, "You can expect to observe more rain and warmer ocean temperatures here, here, and here,"... they give specific numbers for various things. Then you take the output from the computer and analyze it. It is pretty much raw data that you have to give some meaning to. What you want to call it is not really important.
It is important because dumb fucks can and do distort the meaning of words.
Any piece of information is data in informatics terms, not in scientific.
Simulations do not give you data, they predict it, even if a lot of data comes from computers, because they are used to get and analyze the readings of the various devices scientists use
I'll give some examples to make it clear:
Computers connected to sequencers give you DNA sequence. This is
data although it comes from the computer
Proteomics and mass spectrometry gives you
data about the phosphorylation status of proteins in the cell.
You build models of protein networks based on your knowledge of their topology and compare the
predicitons of your models with the observed
data. Then you refine your models and so on
This is exactly what climatologists do, they build models of global climate and compare their predictions with what is observed. The connection between CO2 (=man) and global warming is proven no matter what you think.
I agree that there is scientific consensus that right now we are seeing a warming trend. What I dont agree with is that there is a scientific consensus on it being caused by man. There are several predictions made by the greenhouse gas/CO2 theory that these climatoligists in the book go over that are not happening.
Which are these predicitons? Be more specific, then we might have a serious discussion
The theory does not mesh with reality.
really?
And besides, the sea level has been rising for the last 5,000 years...
Is a few more feet in 100 years (historically it has been 7 inches per 100 years) really anything to spend billions and billions of dollars on? [/quote]
1. If you don't understand the difference between a rise of "several feet" (>14 meters to be exact) in a century and 10 to 20 centimeters, you have a serious problem with your head
2. we need to make these changes anyway because fossil fuels will be over sooner than you think
Just following the predictions of these computer models?....
Just following the ice melting right now in front of our eyes (well, the eyes of those few who realize the world is bigger than their air-conditioned home and 9-to-5 job)
The fact is nobody knows how good these computer models are, and even if it is as bad as the worst prediction made yet,
actually it is worse, all models predicted (because of certain approximations used) it will take centuries for the ice to melt while the real-life observations in Greenland and West Antarctica show it on the way of melting in mere decades
we will adapt and everything will be comparable or better to how the world is today.
LMAO @ "We will adapt"
That's like the person falling from a skyscraper saying "I'll be able to fly by the time I reach the ground"
I will bet you $1,000 dollars that in your lifetime or mine, the pprimary reason humankind suffers is because of the shit we do to each other, not the weather changing.
[/quote]
I bet you that in my lifetime we will be doing much more terrible shit to each other than what we're doing now because of the changing weather