if you're a betting man bigface this would be the perfect fight to bet on since vegas surprisingly has Ward as a huge 4-1 favorite. (IMO it shouldn't be any bigger than 2-1 in favor of Ward).
I admit I can see Dawson winning this fight as well, but he's got to have that hunger and desire for 12 full rounds. No mental lapses like he usually always has throughout fights. Ward is also so versatile, he can fight different ways and adapt on the fly and Dawson tends to get frustrated rather easily.