What's Really Driving the High Price of Oil?

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May 13, 2002
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#1
By Ralph Nader

What factors are causing the zooming price of crude oil, gasoline and heating products? What is going to be done about it?

Don’t rely on the White House—with Bush and Cheney marinated in oil—or the Congress—which has hearings that grill oil executives who know that nothing is going to happen on Capitol Hill either.

Last week the price of crude oil reached about $130 a barrel after spiking to $140 briefly. The immediate cause? Guesses by oil man T. Boone Pickens and Goldman Sachs that the price could go to $150 and $200 a barrel respectivly in the near future. They were referring to what can be called the hoopla pricing party on the New York Mercantile Exchange. (NYMEX)

Meanwhile, consumers, workers and small businesses are suffering with the price of gasoline at $4 a gallon and diesel at $4.50 a gallon. Suffering but not protesting, except for a few demonstrations by independent truckers.

A consumer and small business revolt could be politically powerful. But what would they revolt to achieve? Their government is paralyzed and is unable to indicate any action if oil goes up to $200 or $400 a barrel. Washington, D.C. is leaving people defenseless and drawing no marker for when it will take action.

Oil was at $50 a barrel in January 2007, then $75 a barrel in August 2007. Now at $130 or so a barrel, it is clear that oil pricing is speculative activity, having very little to do with physical supply and demand. An essential product—petroleum—is set by speculators operating on rumor, greed, and fear of wild predictions.

Over the time since early 2007, U.S. demand for petroleum has fallen by 1 percent and world demand has risen by 1.3 percent. Supplies of crude are so plentiful, according to the Wall Street Journal, “traders of physical crude oil say their market is suffering from too much supply, not too little.”

Iran, for instance, is storing 25 million barrels of heavy, sour crude oil because, in the words of Hossein Kazempour Ardebili, Iran’s oil governor, “there are simply no buyers because the market has more than enough oil.”

Mike Wittner, head of oil research at Societe Generale in London agrees. “There’s various signals out there saying for right now, the markets are well supplied with crude.”

Historically, oil has been afflicted with the control of monopolists. From the late nineteenth century days of John D. Rockefeller, and his Standard Oil monopoly, to the emergence of the “Seven Sisters” oligopoly, made up of Standard Oil, Shell, BP, Texaco, Mobil, Gulf and Socal, to the rise of OPEC representing the major producing countries, the “free market” price of oil has been a mirage. Despite the breakup of the Standard Oil company by the government’s trustbusters about 100 years ago, selling cartels and buying oligopolies kept reasserting themselves.

In an ironic twist, the major price determinant has moved from OPEC (having only 40% of the world production) and the oil companies to the speculators in the commodities markets. What goes on in the essentially unregulated New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX)—without Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) enforced margin requirements, and, unlike your personal purchases, untaxed—is now the place that leads to your skyrocketing gasoline bills. OPEC and the Big Oil companies reap the benefits and say that it’s not their doing, but that of the speculators. Gives new meaning to “passing the buck.”

Deborah Fineman, president of Mitchell Supreme Fuel Co. in Orange, New Jersey, summed up the scene: “Energy markets have been dictated for too long by hedge funds and speculators, who artificially manipulate the numbers for their own benefit. The current market isn’t based on the sound principles of supply and demand but it is being rigged by companies and speculators who are jacking up prices for their own greed.”

Harry C. Johnson, former banker who worked for many years inside Big Oil and ran his own small oil company in Oklahoma, blames the CFTC, the Department of Energy, the Administration, and Congress, as “asleep at the switch on an issue that is probably costing U.S. consumers $1 billion per day.”

He cites “some industry experts, who profit greatly from the high price of crude, and have stated openly that the worldwide economic price of crude, absent speculators, would be around $50 to $60 per barrel.

Imagine, our government is letting your price for gasoline and home heating oil be determined by a gambling casino on Wall Street called NYMEX. The people need regulatory protection from speculators and an excess profits tax on Big Oil.

In addition, a sane government would see the present price crises as an opportunity to expand our passenger and freight railroad capacity and technology.

A sane government would drop all subsidies and tax loopholes for Big Oil’s huge profits and other fossil fuels and promote a national mission to solarize our economy to achieve major savings from energy conservation technology, retrofitting buildings, and upgrading efficiency standards for motor vehicles, home appliances, industrial engines and electric generating plants.

Those are the permanent ways to achieve energy independence, reduce our trade deficit, create good jobs that can’t be exported and protect the environmental health of people and nature.

Those are the reforms and advances that a muscular consumer, worker and small business revolt can focus on in the coming weeks.

What say you, America?
 
Feb 8, 2006
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#3
to me it seems it will go down soon because these car companies are offering 2.99 gas for 3 years if you buy a dodge, and toyota is next. With their profits down they must know something, or we're fucked.
 

Stalka All Day

Yeezy Taught Me
Jun 28, 2007
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#4
to me it seems it will go down soon because these car companies are offering 2.99 gas for 3 years if you buy a dodge, and toyota is next. With their profits down they must know something, or we're fucked.
the 2.99 gas is only for 12,000 a year and the offer is only good for like 2-3 years....
 
Feb 1, 2006
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good read. gas was less than $2 a gallon only a couple years ago now it's going to hit $5. are they gona put a limit on this? it's really getting ridiculous i saw some girl i know buying a bike yesterday because she doesn't want to waste hella money on gas. thats sad that its coming to shit like this, we have to ride bikes or walk because using your car is too expensive. people don't go to places they normally would because they don't want to waste gas. I'm just wondering how high it's going to have go before something drastic happens.
 
Feb 8, 2006
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#8
I know folks with boats that aren't goin out as much if at all cause it cost around $1000 to fill their shit up for a couple hours.
 
Nov 24, 2003
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#10
As long as there is a DEMAND for oil, the price will CONTINUE to rise.

Do people realize how reliant the human race is on oil? Even if we wanted to go "green", it would take DECADES to make the switch.


In some ways, I see this Gas Price scare to be a good thing regardless of what the catalyst is for the spike in the price. People in general were getting too complacent about our ability to keep the price of gas affordable but the reality is we are decades away from making any type of switch from oil and someday there will not be enough oil to go around and gas will be more expensive then it is today.

Changes need to be made immediately and if this causes the average person to see that, then so be it.

People should not be buying SUVs/etc anymore and yes more people should be swapping their cars for public transportation or bikes/walking.

We were all raised on a lifestyle that is not sustainable and we need to start changing now.
 
Feb 8, 2006
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#12
control, loll

how about $40 billion in profits alone from EXXON
they're tryin to get all they can while they can
 
May 9, 2002
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#13
In some ways, I see this Gas Price scare to be a good thing regardless of what the catalyst is for the spike in the price. People in general were getting too complacent about our ability to keep the price of gas affordable but the reality is we are decades away from making any type of switch from oil and someday there will not be enough oil to go around and gas will be more expensive then it is today.

Changes need to be made immediately and if this causes the average person to see that, then so be it.

People should not be buying SUVs/etc anymore and yes more people should be swapping their cars for public transportation or bikes/walking.

We were all raised on a lifestyle that is not sustainable and we need to start changing now.
I agree.

What I am ultimately curious about is how many people are actually cutting down on their driving becuase of these high prices. What would happen if the comsumption of gas dropped even 5% over the next year? Would oil companies panic and drop prices? Are these high prices actually a BLESSING in disguise? Could this help people to re-think the way they massively consume gas and maybe try an alternative?

I take the bus to work everyday. I walk ALOT.
 
Apr 25, 2002
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#16
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1809900,00.html

American motorists are understandably grumbling over skyrocketing gas prices as the summer travel season approaches. But their pain hardly registers against the rage afoot in Europe these days. Fishermen, truck drivers and farmers are threatening to bring entire economic sectors to a halt with protests against crippling fuel costs. The wave of angry action is expected to spread further across Europe in coming days, despite efforts by political leaders to feel the pain and figure out how to alleviate it.

Strikes and blockades staged over the past three weeks by French fishermen spread this week to Spanish ports; Italy, Portugal, and Greece expect more of the same on Friday as mariners seek to force national governments to offset marine diesel prices, which have shot up by 40% since January. Single boat owners and entire trawler fleets face a real threat of bankruptcy.

Matters are no better on land. On Tuesday, hundreds of British truck drivers in London and Cardiff brought traffic to a crawl in a campaign to get their government to lower taxes on diesel fuel, which now costs over $11 per U.S. gallon (3.8 liters). Other businesses owners who rely heavily on gas use — including farmers, ambulance and taxi drivers, and private bus companies — have joined the protest movement or are preparing to do so.

Those labor protests reflect the hit millions of Europeans are taking at the gas pump. As American drivers groan over prices nearing $4 a gallon, the French are paying $8.67 for a gallon of super, compared to $7.10 in January, 2007. A gallon of diesel in French gas stations averages $8.54, up from $5.35 just a year ago. And in the U.K. diesel costs $11.50 per gallon, compared to around $3.90 in the U.S. Across the European Union, the average cost of a gallon of gas runs to about $8.70 — more than twice what Americans are shelling out to fill up. And Europe's dizzying fuel costs would be even worse if it weren't for the considerable appreciation of the euro and the British pound against the dollar over the past year, which has partially offset the price escalation in dollar-traded oil.

One big reason for the difference is that European governments put a much higher tax burden on fuel than the U.S. does. State and federal taxes currently make up just 11% of the pump price in the U.S., according to the Energy Information Administration; in France and the U.K., taxes account for an average of around 70%.

Given the growing chorus of angry protests, it isn't surprising that leaders across Europe have begun scurrying for ways to provide some relief at the pump. But their margin for maneuver is limited. On Tuesday, for example, French President Nicolas Sarkozy proposed suspending most value-added tax (VAT) on gas, a measure he said would mean as much as $267 million in savings per quarter to those hit hardest by fuel price increases. VAT rates on gasoline across Europe range from 15% to over 20%, so it's little wonder that Sarkozy's proposal was backed by leaders in Italy and Spain as a painless way to lower prices.

But as Sarkozy himself acknowledged, no nation among the European Union's 27 member states can make such a move without the unanimous approval of the others. Meanwhile, some observers warn that suspending VAT, like the proposed "gas holiday" for U.S. drivers, would deprive governments of sorely needed tax revenues and encourage producers to soak up most of the temporary cost cut. "Changing taxation on fuels in order to combat increasing prices would send a wrong message to producing countries," said E.U. energy spokesman Ferran Terradellas. "This would show them they could increase prices and that the citizens would have to pay."

Others suggest that such short-term efforts to reduce fuel costs send the wrong message anyway to drivers who need to cut consumption. Polls show that 70% of gas-rattled British voters are now unwilling to pay higher taxes to combat climate change. That hasn't stopped some European leaders from taking the bitter pill approach, arguing that today's pain over surging gas prices should be used to encourage longer-term environmental gain. "We don't need one-shot measures," Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet, the French secretary of state for the environment, told parliament following Sarkozy's proposal, "but rather to free ourselves from oil." True enough. But that's cold comfort for truck drivers, fishermen, and summer vacationers who can't afford to fill up in the meantime.
 
Dec 31, 2005
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WWW.JDOTCOLOMBO.BLOGSPOT.COM
#17
In some ways, I see this Gas Price scare to be a good thing regardless of what the catalyst is for the spike in the price. People in general were getting too complacent about our ability to keep the price of gas affordable but the reality is we are decades away from making any type of switch from oil and someday there will not be enough oil to go around and gas will be more expensive then it is today.

Changes need to be made immediately and if this causes the average person to see that, then so be it.

People should not be buying SUVs/etc anymore and yes more people should be swapping their cars for public transportation or bikes/walking.

We were all raised on a lifestyle that is not sustainable and we need to start changing now.
you know that dosent work for everybody.i work in sf and live in vallejo.theres no way for me to get there for cheap.and the public transportation you speak of went through the roof too.the ferry is like $20 for a round trip.i cant take bart from vallejo because they thought it would be a good idea to tear down a bridge they could have used to connect vallejo to the rest of the bay.and what about people with childeren?what are they supposed to do?
 

ThaG

Sicc OG
Jun 30, 2005
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you know that dosent work for everybody.i work in sf and live in vallejo.theres no way for me to get there for cheap.and the public transportation you speak of went through the roof too.the ferry is like $20 for a round trip.i cant take bart from vallejo because they thought it would be a good idea to tear down a bridge they could have used to connect vallejo to the rest of the bay.and what about people with childeren?what are they supposed to do?
This is the result of the bad urban planning. If there was good public transportation system and you did not live in a metro area that covers such a big area, you would not have these problems; and you would not have to use so much energy just to go to work. People with children could have their grandparents take care of them, as it is in a lot of other countries, where grandparents actually do something as opposed to spending their retirement money on vacations

Oh there is a change coming. Big Oil is trying to squeeze every last profit they can before new advances are widespread. We've got a way to go, but cars such as this will put an end to skyrocketing prices. http://www.chevrolet.com/electriccar/

It's a start, which is more than I can say for a lot of people and companies.
I will never stop wondering how ignorant people are about simple thermodynamics, when thermodynamics is what rules all your life and everything you do.

Our problem is not running out of oil, it is running out of energy. Oil is just one source of energy and Peak Oil (which already happened) is just one part of the bigger Peak Energy that is coming, which includes Peak Natural Gas (coming in the next few years), Peak Coal (in the next two or three decades) and Peak Nuclear (around the same time).

Electric cars are not the answer because they run on electricity, which has to come from somewhere (natural gas, coal or nuclear).

We can not switch to electric cars because this will actually increase the demand for oil as it will take about the whole world oil consumption for more than an year just to produce these cars plus enormous amount of iron and other metals. And even if we did, we will very quickly run out of energy for these cars to run on

So this is not the solution, in fact anything that involves preserving the current car-oriented culture is absolutely unviable and the sooner people realize it, the better
 
Dec 31, 2005
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#19
This is the result of the bad urban planning. If there was good public transportation system and you did not live in a metro area that covers such a big area, you would not have these problems; and you would not have to use so much energy just to go to work. People with children could have their grandparents take care of them, as it is in a lot of other countries, where grandparents actually do something as opposed to spending their retirement money on vacations



I will never stop wondering how ignorant people are about simple thermodynamics, when thermodynamics is what rules all your life and everything you do.

Our problem is not running out of oil, it is running out of energy. Oil is just one source of energy and Peak Oil (which already happened) is just one part of the bigger Peak Energy that is coming, which includes Peak Natural Gas (coming in the next few years), Peak Coal (in the next two or three decades) and Peak Nuclear (around the same time).

Electric cars are not the answer because they run on electricity, which has to come from somewhere (natural gas, coal or nuclear).

We can not switch to electric cars because this will actually increase the demand for oil as it will take about the whole world oil consumption for more than an year just to produce these cars plus enormous amount of iron and other metals. And even if we did, we will very quickly run out of energy for these cars to run on

So this is not the solution, in fact anything that involves preserving the current car-oriented culture is absolutely unviable and the sooner people realize it, the better
ur an idiot.