The last 4 weeks have killed me. I went from being up 20 units, back down to 7 units. Still up of course, but took some hits (Tampa and Giants pretty much did it). Thought I would post it here because the sports gambling forums are too confusing right now for this week, so I am staying away.
Here are my 5 picks for the week.
Jags -3 vs Bills
There is something fishy about this one, and everyone is calling the Jags a "lock" but I'm not biting. 88% of public money has gone on the Jags (keep in mind PM is wrong 75% of the time). Jags are 1-3 on the road, plus I hate taking road favorites (especially in the NFL), so I am taking +3 on Buffalo.
Jets -4.5 vs Houston
Line opened at -7. Why so much on Houston to push it 2.5 points? I think the line makers are pulling money on Houston with a +7, but opening at 5.5 would have had better play to make bets go on both sides. Just my opinion. Taking the Jets at home at -4.5.
Baltimore -3 vs Pitts
Steelers have been playing well, but beating the Browns last week was not impressive. Ravens at home take this one. Baltimore at -3.
New England -3.5 vs Chicago
I still believe that the Bears are extremely over-rated and the Patriots will show it this weekend. New England will get at least two picks from the Bears resulting in 10 additional points. Taking New England at -3.5
Every week I throw in a long shot, and I am about 33% on these. Taking the Raiders on the line (+650) against the Chargers. Oakland has been playing much better and have lost by only four the last two games. They have the best pass defense in the league (170 Yds per game) and I don't think LT can do enough to get the win by rushing alone. +650 is just too good to pass up, when in reality it should be about half of that.
So there it is. Feel free to criticize.
Here are my 5 picks for the week.
Jags -3 vs Bills
There is something fishy about this one, and everyone is calling the Jags a "lock" but I'm not biting. 88% of public money has gone on the Jags (keep in mind PM is wrong 75% of the time). Jags are 1-3 on the road, plus I hate taking road favorites (especially in the NFL), so I am taking +3 on Buffalo.
Jets -4.5 vs Houston
Line opened at -7. Why so much on Houston to push it 2.5 points? I think the line makers are pulling money on Houston with a +7, but opening at 5.5 would have had better play to make bets go on both sides. Just my opinion. Taking the Jets at home at -4.5.
Baltimore -3 vs Pitts
Steelers have been playing well, but beating the Browns last week was not impressive. Ravens at home take this one. Baltimore at -3.
New England -3.5 vs Chicago
I still believe that the Bears are extremely over-rated and the Patriots will show it this weekend. New England will get at least two picks from the Bears resulting in 10 additional points. Taking New England at -3.5
Every week I throw in a long shot, and I am about 33% on these. Taking the Raiders on the line (+650) against the Chargers. Oakland has been playing much better and have lost by only four the last two games. They have the best pass defense in the league (170 Yds per game) and I don't think LT can do enough to get the win by rushing alone. +650 is just too good to pass up, when in reality it should be about half of that.
So there it is. Feel free to criticize.
