The coming South American transformation...

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ReKz

Sicc OG
May 26, 2002
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#3
WHITE DEVIL said:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/spl/hi/guides/456900/456942/html/nn1page1.stm

Just thought this was interesting.

South America is facing 12 major elections by the end of 2006. And if trends continue, leftist groups will take over the entire continent.

Gonna be interesting to see what happens next...
Its Latin America...since Mexico and Central American are included in that article....and as u know they arent part of South America..

My predictions:

Mexico: Andres Lopez Obrador
Nicaragua: Herty Lewites(Expelled from Sandinista Party by Daniel Ortega)
Costa Rica: Oscar Arias(Served from '86-'90)
Colombia: Alvaro Uribe (Re-elected)
Venezuela: Hugo Chavez (Re-elected)
Ecuador: Jaime Nebot
Peru: Ollanta Humala
Bolivia: Evo Morales
Brazil: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (Re-elected)
Chile: Michelle Bachelet
 
May 13, 2002
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#5
I seriously doubt Lula will be re-elected.

It's interesting that Ms. Bachelet will most likely win in Chile, considering that she is a single mother, an atheist, openly socialist and she will be the first democratically-elected woman president in South America.
 

ReKz

Sicc OG
May 26, 2002
1,338
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#6
ReKz said:
Its Latin America...since Mexico and Central American are included in that article....and as u know they arent part of South America..

My predictions:

Mexico: Andres Lopez Obrador
Nicaragua: Herty Lewites(Expelled from Sandinista Party by Daniel Ortega)
Costa Rica: Oscar Arias(Served from '86-'90)
Colombia: Alvaro Uribe (Re-elected)
Venezuela: Hugo Chavez (Re-elected)
Ecuador: Jaime Nebot
Peru: Valentin Paniagua
Bolivia: Evo Morales
Brazil: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (Re-elected)
Chile: Michelle Bachelet

Leftist claims Bolivia poll win

(CNN) -- Bolivian socialist leader Evo Morales has claimed victory in that turbulent Andean country's presidential election after conservative rival Jorge Quiroga conceded defeat.

An Indian labor activist who advocates the distribution of Bolivia's natural gas revenue to the public, Morales rose from poverty and obscurity to become the leader of Bolivia's coca farmers.

In the past four years, he has led rounds of protests that have shut down the capital, La Paz, and forced two presidents from office.

"As a people who love their country, we have an enormous responsibility to change our history," Morales told supporters Sunday night.

"This change that the people want is going to be respected."

Official results are not expected until Monday. But Quiroga conceded after exit polls showed a stronger-than-expected showing for Morales.

Morales, 46, is a friend and ally of Venezuela's outspoken leftist President Hugo Chavez and Cuban President Fidel Castro.

He came to prominence blasting U.S.-backed "neoliberal" economic policies that Bolivian leaders adopted in the 1980s -- policies he said do little to help the country's impoverished Aymara and Quechua Indian majority -- and defending impoverished coca growers against U.S.-funded eradication efforts.

The prospect of Morales now becoming president horrifies conservatives in Bolivia and in Washington, who say his radical form of socialism would be disastrous.

"I think it would be the worst nightmare scenario for Washington, because right now you have a growing alliance between Venezuela and Cuba," said Andres Oppenheimer, a Latin American analyst and columnist for the Miami Herald. "What is now a duo may become a trio."

Bolivia is one of the poorest and most politically turbulent countries in the region, with nearly 200 military coups in its history.

Its current president, Eduardo Rodriguez, took over as in June after anti-government protests led by Morales forced then-president Carlos Mesa from office.

Mesa took office in 2003 after similar protests forced his predecessor, Gonzalo Sanchez de Lozada, to resign.
 
May 13, 2002
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#9


Chavez Welcomes Morales’ Victory in Bolivia
Wednesday, Dec 21, 2005
Venezuelanalysis.com

Caracas, Venezuela, December 21, 2005—The election of Evo Morales as President of Bolivia last Sunday marks the beginning of a new era, said Venezuela’s President Hugo Chavez in a letter to Morales. According to Chavez, Bolivians had to wait 500 years until they were finally able to have an Aymara Indian as President and this represents, “a real and true historical vindication,” said Chavez.

Last Sunday, Evo Morales, the leader of the party Movement Towards Socialism and a former organizer of Coca plant growers, won Bolivia’s presidency with 51-55% of the vote. This represents the highest percentage with which a Bolivian has been elected to the presidency in the history of the country.



The Bush administration repeatedly accused the Chavez government of contributing to unrest in Bolivia and of supporting Morales financially. Chavez, however, has forcefully denied these allegations. It is, though, generally assumed that Morales will follow similar policies as Chavez has. Morales rejects U.S. drug control policies in the region and promised to nationalize Bolivia’s natural gas fields. Chavez and Morales have enjoyed close ties for several years now.



Chavez’s letter of congratulations to Morales went on to say, “Without a doubt, Evo, our joy is also great: the Fatherland of Bolivar and of Sucre [two 19th C. liberation fighters of Latin America] begins its new and definitive battle for dignity and sovereignty, and the great family of peoples finds in your fatherland a new reason to affirm the cause of humanity and to negate the neo-liberal fallacy of the end of history. It is time for the re-founding of Bolivia: it is a new beginning for history.”

Venezuela’s Vice President José Vicente Rangel also expressed satisfaction over Morales’ election, saying he felt this way not just “for what it represents politically and ideologically, but also for the human.”

Rangel went on to say that Morales, “Is a man who came form the people, son of a peasant family, forged in the everyday struggle for survival and in addition it is the first time that an indigenous person from Latin America reaches the presidency of the Republic.”
Rangel also denied that Chavez had anything to do with Morales’ victory. “For all the satisfaction the government of Hugo Chavez feels, it will not become involved in the policies and government of Morales,” said Rangel.
 
May 13, 2002
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#13
I hope this guy doesnt turn out like Lula. I haven't been too impressed with the Movement Towards Socialism (MAS). Their name is very misleading, since they really aren't a socialist party. It is clear that they have a very anti-imperialist stance to fight US plans for coca eradication in Bolivia. But I'm not sure how far they are willing to nationalize their natural resources. I guess we'll have to see if Morales will be the next Chavez or Lula.

“We should admit that Bolivia will still be capitalist in the next 50 to 100 years.” Doesn't sound too promising.
 

ReKz

Sicc OG
May 26, 2002
1,338
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#14
Bachelet Wins...

ReKz said:
Its Latin America...since Mexico and Central American are included in that article....and as u know they arent part of South America..

My predictions:

Mexico: Andres Lopez Obrador
Nicaragua: Herty Lewites(Expelled from Sandinista Party by Daniel Ortega)
Costa Rica: Oscar Arias(Served from '86-'90)
Colombia: Alvaro Uribe (Re-elected)
Venezuela: Hugo Chavez (Re-elected)
Ecuador: Jaime Nebot
Peru: Ollanta Humala
Bolivia: Evo Morales
Brazil: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (Re-elected)
Chile: Michelle Bachelet


2-0-Sixx said:
It's interesting that Ms. Bachelet will most likely win in Chile, considering that she is a single mother, an atheist, openly socialist and she will be the first democratically-elected woman president in South America.

Pinera concedes defeat in Chile election



Michelle Bachelet, the Socialist presidential candidate, votes Sunday.

SANTIAGO, Chile (CNN) -- Presidential candidate Sebastian Pinera conceded defeat Sunday in the runoff against Socialist candidate Michelle Bachelet, leaving Bachelet poised to become Chile's first female president.

"I want to thank Michelle Bachelet for her triumph today, not just because she's the first woman president in the history of the country," he said.

Still, he added, "The fight continues ... we will continue to be a firm and constructive opposition."

Pinera delivered his speech after the Interior Ministry reported that Bachelet led Sunday's runoff by a 53-to-47 percent margin.

Supporters of the 54-year-old Bachelet, a one-time political prisoner, were claiming victory, though she had made no public statement.

More than 67 percent of the polling stations had reported, the Interior Ministry said.

Bachelet served as defense minister under outgoing President Ricardo Lagos. Her opponent, Pinera, is a conservative airline and broadcasting tycoon who studied economics at Harvard University in Massachusetts.

Bachelet spent five years in exile after the 1973 coup that brought Gen. Augusto Pinochet to power. Her father, an air force general, was tortured and killed after the coup, and Bachelet herself was tortured before being sent into exile in Australia.

She completed her training as a pediatrician in East Germany and served as health minister in Chile's center-left government before becoming defense minister.

"What I want, and have and will always work for, is to build a society in which what happened to me and so many Chileans can never be repeated," she said recently.

Her victory would add to a leftward political shift in Latin America.

Leftists hold presidential power in Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay and Venezuela, and Bolivian President-elect Evo Morales -- a former coca farmer and union leader who promises to nationalize the country's natural gas industry -- is slated to take office January 22.

------------------

With 97.52% reporting :

Michelle Bachelet 53.51%
Sebastián Piñera 46.48%
 
Dec 25, 2003
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#16
Michele Bachelet is actually to the right of Tony Blair.

Her "socialism" is basically in name only. Chile stands in opposition to most of the rest of Latin America, especially vis-a-vis American support.

Washington and the current administration vies Chile very favorably, and in the books of most here that is instant death in terms of legitimacy.

Chile is in fact a very conservative society, and though many Chilean politicians ape the rest of Latin America by calling themselves socialist, in fact their policies are far from left-wing.