here's an excerpt from a book
http://www.sevenstories.com/Book/index.cfm?GCOI=58322100925650
NORTH KOREA
SOUTH KOREA
U.S. POLICY AT A TIME OF CRISIS
JOHN FEFFER
An Open Media Book
SEVEN STORIES PRESS
New York
Copyright © 2003 by John Feffer
Open Media series editor, Greg Ruggiero.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored
in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form, by any means,
including mechanical, electric, photocopying, recording or otherwise,
without the prior written permission of the publisher.
In Canada: Hushion House, 36 Northline Road, Toronto, Ontario
M4B 3E2
In the U.K.: Turnaround Publisher Services Ltd., Unit 3, Olympia
Trading Estate, Coburg Road, Wood Green, London N22 6TZ
In Australia: Palgrave Macmillan, 627 Chapel Street, South Yarra,
VIC 3141
Cover design: Greg Ruggiero
Cover image: Contemporary North Korean propaganda poster
ISBN: 1-58322-603-6
Printed in Canada.
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
I N T RODUCT I O N
The Current Crisis
It was a striking juxtaposition: U.S. Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright and North Korean leader Kim Jong Il sitting
side by side at a display of mass gymnastics in October
2000. “Spectacular and amazing,” Albright called the coordinated
movements of the one hundred thousand performers in
the stadium in Pyongyang, the capital of North Korea. When
a picture of a 1998 rocket launch was displayed before the
audience, Kim Jong Il leaned over to confide that it would be
his country’s first and last such launch. Later the two would
toast one another at a state dinner, and the photo appeared on
the front pages of many newspapers. Albright announced to
the international press that Kim Jong Il was a man with
whom Washington could do business: “very decisive and
practical and serious.” She recommended that Bill Clinton
make the first presidential visit to North Korean before the
year’s end to trade a package of economic incentives for an
end to North Korea’s missile program. The United States and
its longest running enemy, technically at war for over fifty
years, appeared to be finally approaching detente.1
Madeleine Albright was no starry-eyed dove. Long before
joining the Clinton administration, the Czech-born Albright
had acquired a hawkish reputation as a Sovietologist and
served with her mentor Zbigniew Brzezinski on the
National Security Council in the late 1970s. In her first four
weeks as Bill Clinton’s secretary of state, she lectured the
[9]
Chinese government about its human rights record and traveled
to the South Korean side of the demilitarized zone
(DMZ) to hurl harsh words at the North Korean government.
With such anticommunist credentials, Albright was
the perfect person to sell a deal with North Korea, just as
Richard Nixon had earlier surprised the world with his
opening to communist China. Like Nixon, Albright wanted
to seize on a geopolitical opportunity. Four months before
her visit to Pyongyang, Kim Jong Il had met South Korean
president Kim Dae Jung in the first ever inter-Korean summit.
Subsequently, the highest ranking North Korean to
visit the United States, Vice Marshal Jo Myong Rok, met
with Clinton and signed a joint communiqué that spoke of
replacing the 1953 armistice agreement with “permanent
peace arrangements.”2 The cold war in Asia, which had
already outlasted its European counterpart by a decade, was
entering a new warm spell. Albright sensed a diplomatic
breakthrough in the offing and wanted to go down in history
with her president as resolving one of the thorniest problems
in U.S. foreign policy.
Albright and Clinton did not make history in the fall of
2000.
On her return to Washington, Albright scrambled to
defend her reticence to raise human rights issues with Kim
Jong Il. Pundits lambasted Clinton for overreaching himself
in Korea to save his foreign policy legacy from the flames
engulfing the Middle East. And follow-up talks in Malaysia
between the United States and North Korea failed to yield
an agreement on the missile issue. As the U.S. presidential
elections headed into a procedural snafu in Florida in
November 2000, Clinton decided not to risk a visit to
Pyongyang. He extended a secret invitation to Kim Jong Il to
visit Washington instead, but this last-minute attempt to
save a deal also went nowhere.
And today, roughly three years later, the United States
and North Korea are on the verge of war. How in this short
time did these two countries make such a hash of their reconciliation?
The proximate cause of the current crisis was the revelation
in October 2002 that North Korea was still trying to
acquire nuclear weapons despite a pledge to abstain. Under
a 1994 agreement, North Korea shut down its nuclear reactors
and plutonium reprocessing facility at Yongbyon in
exchange for heavy fuel oil, two light-water nuclear reactors,
and movement toward diplomatic recognition. In 2002, the
Bush administration accused North Korea of covertly working
with Pakistan on a second path to a nuclear bomb. After
making its allegations about this secret uranium enrichment
program, the Bush administration ended all heavy fuel
oil shipments to North Korea. North Korea in turn declared
on 10 January 2003 that it was no longer party to the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)—a withdrawal that
went into effect three months later—and threatened as well
to pull out of the armistice agreement that put an end to the
fighting in the Korean War.
As the crisis deepened, North Korea sent out signals that
it wanted to return to the status quo ante. It announced that
it would consider rejoining the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty if the United States resumed the oil shipments. It
would suspend its nuclear program if the United States
signed a nonaggression statement. Washington ignored these
offers. While maintaining that it wanted a diplomatic solution
to the conflict, the United States refused to sit down
with North Korea for one-on-one negotiations. Although
contemptuous of multilateralism elsewhere in the world, the
Bush administration insisted in this one case on having more
parties in on the talks. Meanwhile, the Pentagon transferred
twenty-four long-range bombers to Guam as well as six F-117
stealth aircraft and at least ten additional F-15 bombers to
South Korea. If attacked, North Korea threatened to turn the
United States and its allies into a “sea of fire.”3
By March, North Korea was preparing to restart its plutonium
facility. The war in Iraq had led the leaders in
Pyongyang to draw three conclusions: a nonaggression agreement
with the United States was pointless, no inspection
regime would ever be good enough for Washington, and only
a nuclear weapon would deter a U.S. intervention.4 Although
the United States and North Korea finally agreed to discuss
the crisis in April 2003—with China on hand as a mediator—
the talks fell apart when North Korea declared that it had
nuclear weapons and would test or sell them if the United
States did not negotiate a deal. The United States rejected
Pyongyang’s offer, declaring that it would not “reward North
Korea for bad behavior.”5 Since making a deal with North
Korea is anathema, the Bush administration has shifted its
focus instead to preventing the export of nuclear material
and shutting down the North Korean economy.6 Despite
pleas from its South Korean ally–and the fact that 92 percent
of South Koreans oppose any type of armed conflict on the
peninsula–the administration has kept a preemptive strike
against North Korea on the table.7 Meanwhile, North Korea
has announced that an embargo or a policy of naval interdiction
would be tantamount to a declaration of war.
This is no minor disagreement. Geopolitics has rendered
the Korean peninsula one of the most highly militarized
areas of the world. The demilitarized zone separating the
two Koreas is perhaps the most dangerous trip wire in the
world, what Bill Clinton dubbed “the scariest place on
earth” on a visit there in 1993. It is a war waiting to happen.
Although the great powers in the region—China, Japan, and
Russia—do not want such a war, they may get drawn in
despite their best intentions. As such, the current conflict
between the United States and North Korea has profound
international implications.
The current crisis is not, as the Bush administration suggests,
simply a result of North Korea’s persistent desire to
obtain nuclear weapons. Nor has the crisis caught the Bush
administration without a coherent policy in place. Contrary
to the claims of administration figures, Bush did not adjust
“policy midstream in response to new information and a
new calculation of the threat from North Korea.”8 As this
book will demonstrate, the current policy on North Korea
was incubating in conservative policy circles during the
1990s. Once in power, the Bush administration has used various
means to pursue its ultimate goal: regime change in
Pyongyang.
Toward this end, the administration has campaigned
against any policies that might extend the life of the current
North Korean government, from the 1994 Agreed
Framework to South Korea’s engagement policy. The Bush
team has so far relied on economic containment and diplomatic
nonengagement to bring down the North Korean
government. Should these strategies prove insufficient, the
administration has drawn up several military scenarios
that, in keeping with a new nuclear doctrine, may involve
the first use of nuclear weapons. As such, Bush policy on
North Korea is of a piece with the more profound doctrine
shift in U.S. foreign policy that the administration was
http://www.sevenstories.com/Book/index.cfm?GCOI=58322100925650
NORTH KOREA
SOUTH KOREA
U.S. POLICY AT A TIME OF CRISIS
JOHN FEFFER
An Open Media Book
SEVEN STORIES PRESS
New York
Copyright © 2003 by John Feffer
Open Media series editor, Greg Ruggiero.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored
in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form, by any means,
including mechanical, electric, photocopying, recording or otherwise,
without the prior written permission of the publisher.
In Canada: Hushion House, 36 Northline Road, Toronto, Ontario
M4B 3E2
In the U.K.: Turnaround Publisher Services Ltd., Unit 3, Olympia
Trading Estate, Coburg Road, Wood Green, London N22 6TZ
In Australia: Palgrave Macmillan, 627 Chapel Street, South Yarra,
VIC 3141
Cover design: Greg Ruggiero
Cover image: Contemporary North Korean propaganda poster
ISBN: 1-58322-603-6
Printed in Canada.
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
I N T RODUCT I O N
The Current Crisis
It was a striking juxtaposition: U.S. Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright and North Korean leader Kim Jong Il sitting
side by side at a display of mass gymnastics in October
2000. “Spectacular and amazing,” Albright called the coordinated
movements of the one hundred thousand performers in
the stadium in Pyongyang, the capital of North Korea. When
a picture of a 1998 rocket launch was displayed before the
audience, Kim Jong Il leaned over to confide that it would be
his country’s first and last such launch. Later the two would
toast one another at a state dinner, and the photo appeared on
the front pages of many newspapers. Albright announced to
the international press that Kim Jong Il was a man with
whom Washington could do business: “very decisive and
practical and serious.” She recommended that Bill Clinton
make the first presidential visit to North Korean before the
year’s end to trade a package of economic incentives for an
end to North Korea’s missile program. The United States and
its longest running enemy, technically at war for over fifty
years, appeared to be finally approaching detente.1
Madeleine Albright was no starry-eyed dove. Long before
joining the Clinton administration, the Czech-born Albright
had acquired a hawkish reputation as a Sovietologist and
served with her mentor Zbigniew Brzezinski on the
National Security Council in the late 1970s. In her first four
weeks as Bill Clinton’s secretary of state, she lectured the
[9]
Chinese government about its human rights record and traveled
to the South Korean side of the demilitarized zone
(DMZ) to hurl harsh words at the North Korean government.
With such anticommunist credentials, Albright was
the perfect person to sell a deal with North Korea, just as
Richard Nixon had earlier surprised the world with his
opening to communist China. Like Nixon, Albright wanted
to seize on a geopolitical opportunity. Four months before
her visit to Pyongyang, Kim Jong Il had met South Korean
president Kim Dae Jung in the first ever inter-Korean summit.
Subsequently, the highest ranking North Korean to
visit the United States, Vice Marshal Jo Myong Rok, met
with Clinton and signed a joint communiqué that spoke of
replacing the 1953 armistice agreement with “permanent
peace arrangements.”2 The cold war in Asia, which had
already outlasted its European counterpart by a decade, was
entering a new warm spell. Albright sensed a diplomatic
breakthrough in the offing and wanted to go down in history
with her president as resolving one of the thorniest problems
in U.S. foreign policy.
Albright and Clinton did not make history in the fall of
2000.
On her return to Washington, Albright scrambled to
defend her reticence to raise human rights issues with Kim
Jong Il. Pundits lambasted Clinton for overreaching himself
in Korea to save his foreign policy legacy from the flames
engulfing the Middle East. And follow-up talks in Malaysia
between the United States and North Korea failed to yield
an agreement on the missile issue. As the U.S. presidential
elections headed into a procedural snafu in Florida in
November 2000, Clinton decided not to risk a visit to
Pyongyang. He extended a secret invitation to Kim Jong Il to
visit Washington instead, but this last-minute attempt to
save a deal also went nowhere.
And today, roughly three years later, the United States
and North Korea are on the verge of war. How in this short
time did these two countries make such a hash of their reconciliation?
The proximate cause of the current crisis was the revelation
in October 2002 that North Korea was still trying to
acquire nuclear weapons despite a pledge to abstain. Under
a 1994 agreement, North Korea shut down its nuclear reactors
and plutonium reprocessing facility at Yongbyon in
exchange for heavy fuel oil, two light-water nuclear reactors,
and movement toward diplomatic recognition. In 2002, the
Bush administration accused North Korea of covertly working
with Pakistan on a second path to a nuclear bomb. After
making its allegations about this secret uranium enrichment
program, the Bush administration ended all heavy fuel
oil shipments to North Korea. North Korea in turn declared
on 10 January 2003 that it was no longer party to the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)—a withdrawal that
went into effect three months later—and threatened as well
to pull out of the armistice agreement that put an end to the
fighting in the Korean War.
As the crisis deepened, North Korea sent out signals that
it wanted to return to the status quo ante. It announced that
it would consider rejoining the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty if the United States resumed the oil shipments. It
would suspend its nuclear program if the United States
signed a nonaggression statement. Washington ignored these
offers. While maintaining that it wanted a diplomatic solution
to the conflict, the United States refused to sit down
with North Korea for one-on-one negotiations. Although
contemptuous of multilateralism elsewhere in the world, the
Bush administration insisted in this one case on having more
parties in on the talks. Meanwhile, the Pentagon transferred
twenty-four long-range bombers to Guam as well as six F-117
stealth aircraft and at least ten additional F-15 bombers to
South Korea. If attacked, North Korea threatened to turn the
United States and its allies into a “sea of fire.”3
By March, North Korea was preparing to restart its plutonium
facility. The war in Iraq had led the leaders in
Pyongyang to draw three conclusions: a nonaggression agreement
with the United States was pointless, no inspection
regime would ever be good enough for Washington, and only
a nuclear weapon would deter a U.S. intervention.4 Although
the United States and North Korea finally agreed to discuss
the crisis in April 2003—with China on hand as a mediator—
the talks fell apart when North Korea declared that it had
nuclear weapons and would test or sell them if the United
States did not negotiate a deal. The United States rejected
Pyongyang’s offer, declaring that it would not “reward North
Korea for bad behavior.”5 Since making a deal with North
Korea is anathema, the Bush administration has shifted its
focus instead to preventing the export of nuclear material
and shutting down the North Korean economy.6 Despite
pleas from its South Korean ally–and the fact that 92 percent
of South Koreans oppose any type of armed conflict on the
peninsula–the administration has kept a preemptive strike
against North Korea on the table.7 Meanwhile, North Korea
has announced that an embargo or a policy of naval interdiction
would be tantamount to a declaration of war.
This is no minor disagreement. Geopolitics has rendered
the Korean peninsula one of the most highly militarized
areas of the world. The demilitarized zone separating the
two Koreas is perhaps the most dangerous trip wire in the
world, what Bill Clinton dubbed “the scariest place on
earth” on a visit there in 1993. It is a war waiting to happen.
Although the great powers in the region—China, Japan, and
Russia—do not want such a war, they may get drawn in
despite their best intentions. As such, the current conflict
between the United States and North Korea has profound
international implications.
The current crisis is not, as the Bush administration suggests,
simply a result of North Korea’s persistent desire to
obtain nuclear weapons. Nor has the crisis caught the Bush
administration without a coherent policy in place. Contrary
to the claims of administration figures, Bush did not adjust
“policy midstream in response to new information and a
new calculation of the threat from North Korea.”8 As this
book will demonstrate, the current policy on North Korea
was incubating in conservative policy circles during the
1990s. Once in power, the Bush administration has used various
means to pursue its ultimate goal: regime change in
Pyongyang.
Toward this end, the administration has campaigned
against any policies that might extend the life of the current
North Korean government, from the 1994 Agreed
Framework to South Korea’s engagement policy. The Bush
team has so far relied on economic containment and diplomatic
nonengagement to bring down the North Korean
government. Should these strategies prove insufficient, the
administration has drawn up several military scenarios
that, in keeping with a new nuclear doctrine, may involve
the first use of nuclear weapons. As such, Bush policy on
North Korea is of a piece with the more profound doctrine
shift in U.S. foreign policy that the administration was