Iceland: Not as far from Zimbabwe as you'd think

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Apr 25, 2002
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The party's over for Iceland, the island that tried to buy the worldAlmost overnight, its population became the wealthiest on Earth.
Tracy McVeigh in Reykjavik finds that the credit crunch is making the cash disappear
Tracy McVeigh
The Observer, Sunday October 5 2008


The snow has arrived early in Reykjavik after an unusually long and warm summer. The freeze has brought out the ghostly green haze of the aurora borealis - the Northern Lights - the shape of which shifts dramatically across the tiny city's black skies.

The bars and restaurants of Iceland's capital are packed, the Range Rovers and BMWs are parked nose to tail all along the streets of the central 101 district, and music is pumping from a black stretch Hummer limousine cruising by.

'What can we do? Its difficult times but we've spent all day talking about it, watching the news getting worse and worse. We had to go out and be with friends. Maybe it's like the party at the end of the world,' says Egill Tomasson, 32, sitting in the Kaffeebarinn bar.

Iceland is on the brink of collapse. Inflation and interest rates are raging upwards. The krona, Iceland's currency, is in freefall and is rated just above those of Zimbabwe and Turkmenistan. One of the country's three independent banks has been nationalised, another is asking customers for money, and the discredited government and officials from the central bank have been huddled behind closed doors for three days with still no sign of a plan. International banks won't send any more money and supplies of foreign currency are running out.

People talk about whether a new emergency unity government is needed and if the EU would fast-track the country to membership. On Friday the queues at the banks were huge, as people moved savings into the most secure accounts. Yesterday people were buying up supplies of olive oil and pasta after a supermarket spokesman announced on Friday night that they had no means of paying the foreign currency advances needed to import more foodstuffs.

This North Atlantic volcanic island, which is the size of Cuba, with a population of 320,000 - the size of Coventry's - is an unlikely player on the global financial stage. It is famous for its fish, geysers and for winning the UN's 2007 'best country to live in' poll. But Iceland built its extraordinary wealth on the crest of the worldwide credit boom and now the crunch is sweeping it away, bankrupting a people for whom the past eight years have been, for most of them and by their own admission, one long party.

The nation's celebrated rags-to-riches story began in the Nineties when free market reforms, fish quota cash and a stock market based on stable pension funds allowed Icelandic entrepreneurs to go out and sweep up international credit. Britain and Denmark were favourite shopping haunts, and in 2004 alone Icelanders spent £894m on shares in British companies. In just five years, the average Icelandic family saw its wealth increase by 45 per cent.

But, as a result of the international banking crisis, the billionaires who own everything from West Ham United football club to the Somerfield supermarket chain, Hamleys toy shops and the House of Fraser, are in trouble and the country is drowning in debt.

Iceland's cheap labour force, the Poles and Lithuanians, have left already - there's little point in sending home such a worthless currency, and the tourist season is over. Iceland is on its own.

In the Kaffeebarinn, Egill Tomasson isn't drinking because he has a music festival to organise. Iceland Airwaves takes place in a fortnight, when more than 100 Icelandic bands and 50 foreign ones will play in venues around the city over four days. Most of the tickets have been sold in krona, but the international acts need to be paid in euros, which is going to cost the organisers dearly.

'People here are going to need this festival,' says Tomasson. 'This crisis has been a heavy blow. And many people should have a bad conscience for what has happened. Someone should be prosecuted, they have sucked Iceland dry, taken the money and ran, and left us totally in the shit. People I know who have gone to the UK or the US to study have found their grants worthless, they are stranded.'

Like many his age, Tomasson has only a vague memory of harder times, before the boom that brought Iceland the highest per capita wealth in the world. Older islanders call them the 'Krutt-kynslotin' - the cuddly generation. Eco-aware, earnest but pampered, they drift from organic café to bar, listening to the music of Björk and Sigur Rós, islanders who have made it big abroad. 'They will have to get their hands dirty now,' says chef Siggi Hall, Iceland's answer to Gordon Ramsay, with an effusive vocabulary to match.

'That's good though, they are the I-generation; iPods, iPhones, everything starts with I. Well, we will have to go back to the basics now. Icelanders are risk-takers, but hard working, they will have to downsize. We will have to eat haddock and Icelandic lamb and forget these imports of goose livers and Japanese soy sauce. When everyone was extremely rich in Iceland - you know, last month, it was with money that they never have earned. Now those who were extremely rich are just normally rich, but they think they are poor. They were spoilt, spending billions.'

Hall is due to open his new restaurant on 17 October, but insists the crisis is not worrying him. 'I had been losing customers because people were flying off to Copenhagen and London and New York for the weekend, to eat out. Now they will stay in Iceland, but they will still eat out. People need to eat.'

Outside the city's Hofdahollin car showroom, looking a little rumpled for men trying to sell new and used cars for £35,000 and up, owner Runar Olafsson and his top salesman are sharing a Marlboro. They are not expecting any customers today. 'A few years ago we couldn't get enough top-end cars and we started importing them. We were selling 120, 140, a month. But it turned around so fast,' says Olafsson. 'It's so dramatic, just in one month. We have already seen two dealers go down.

'Customers would come in and we would apply for credit online for them, a 100 per cent loan, and they can drive away in their new Range Rover. It took ten minutes, it was very easy. But 60 to 70 per cent of those loans were in foreign currency, Japanese yen or Swiss francs, and they have gone up 90 per cent as the krona burns. A car worth 5 million krona now has a 9 million loan on it; how are people going to make those payments?'

Foreign currency loans are a problem for homeowners, too. 'Loans have been very cheap, house prices rose and there was a lot of good-quality housebuilding. But the building has halted, nothing is being finished, nothing is selling. The interest rates are staggering. What people are doing now is swapping houses if they want to go bigger or smaller. That is what is keeping us afloat,' says estate agent Ingolfur Gissurarson. His mobile goes off - the ringtone is A Hard Day's Night by the Beatles. 'I changed it to suit the times,' he smiles.

Blame it on the Vikings. Icelanders like to hark back to their ancestors, the rebel Vikings who, as the nation's most revered daughter Björk once explained, 'couldn't deal with authority in Norway. So they flew off in this mad ocean in a wooden boat which is pretty hardcore, North Atlantic in the year 800. And they found this island full of snow ... yeeeah!'

'The Icelandic psyche is an important part of all of this,' says Hellgrimur Helgason, who writes an outspoken newspaper column which exposes feuds between Iceland's ruling class and its entrepreneurs. He is also the author of 101 Reykjavik, a popular novel populated by 'Krutt-kynslotin' characters.

'Before the market reforms the country had stagnated, no one thought Icelanders could be businessmen. We were poor fishermen or farmers, so it had an incredible effect on confidence when we saw these young men out buying up British and Danish companies. Everyone grabbed at the new opportunities like children. Really, it was no surprise that Hamleys toy shop was one of the first purchases.'

Gunnghilder Sveinbjarna and her friend, Anna Lara Magnusdottir, are ordering their second bottle of red wine in the Philippe Starck-designed interior of Reykjavik's Bar 5. Tonight the young women are feeling no pain.

'We come out at the weekend to forget our children and our problems, and this time we will drink extra hard to make sure we forget the economic crisis too,' says Gunnghilder, raising a glass. 'Tomorrow the sore head.'

The door to Hell
• Iceland is known as the Land of the Midnight Sun because in summer there are almost 24 hours of daylight.

• There are 15 active volcanoes in Iceland, including Mount Hekla, long believed to be the entrance to Hell.

• More books are published per capita in Iceland than in any other country.

• Many Icelanders still practise the old Viking religion of Norse mythology.

• Icelanders drink more Coca-Cola than anyone else in the world.

The British connection

• Iceland's biggest bank, Kaupthing, has investments in Costcutter, Somerfield, Jane Norman and the Laurel Pub Company which manages the Slug & Lettuce chain. It jointly owns Kaupthing Edge, an internet savings bank with 150,000 British savers.

• Baugur, an Icelandic international investment company, has significant stakes in Iceland supermarkets, Moss Bros, French Connection, Woolworths, Saks, Whittard of Chelsea, Goldsmiths, House of Fraser, Whistles and Oasis.
 
Apr 16, 2003
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I've watched the episode a while back, some of the food he had to it almost made me throw up just watching. Fermented shark scraps....yum
 

ThaG

Sicc OG
Jun 30, 2005
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You should not worry about Iceland, they will do fine in the long run with the geothermal energy they have. There's a reason why Iceland is the leading producer of bananas in Europe...
 
Apr 25, 2002
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Iceland suspends trading after bank seizures
By Chris Hughes in London and Tom Braithwaite in Reykjavik

Published: October 9 2008 08:22 | Last updated: October 9 2008 11:08

Iceland’s stock exchange on Thursday suspended trading in all shares citing unusual market conditions after the country’s largest lender, Kaupthing Bank, followed domestic peers into state ownership.

The nationalisation of Kaupthing followed that of Landsbanki, owner of the Icesave savings business popular in the UK, and Glitnir earlier this week and pushed the island economy to the verge of collapse.

Sigurdur Einarsson, Kaupthing’s executive chairman, said the bank had asked Iceland’s Financial Supervisory Authority (FME) to take control after Kaupthing Singer & Friedlander, its UK subsidiary, was placed into administration on Wednesday by the UK government, putting the parent company in technical default.

“It did not matter that the parent company had sufficient liquidity and its position was solid,” he added.

Mr Einarsson also said Kaupthing Edge, Kaupthing’s online saving bank, had been hit by a wave of withdrawals by UK depositors in the wake of the run on Icesave, in spite of its deposits directly benefiting from a UK guarantee, whereas Icesave’s were backed by an Icelandic protection scheme in the first instance. Kaupthing agreed to sell Kaupthing Edge deposit business to ING, the Dutch bank, on Wednesday.

The FME said Kaupthing’s domestic deposits were fully guaranteed and “domestic branches, call centres, cash machines and internet operations will be open for business as usual”.

“The action taken by the FME is a necessary first step in achieving the objectives of the Icelandic government and parliament to ensure the continued orderly operation of domestic banking and the safety of domestic deposits,” it added.

The bank’s Finnish operation said it was continuing operating as normal on Thursday and its Swedish business said it had enough liquid assets to cover deposits. Both businesses were excluded from the Icelandic government’s move on Thursday to take control of the parent company. It also emerged on Thursday that Austria had frozen all the assets of Kaupthing’s Austrian subsidiary.

The decision to nationalise Iceland’s largest lender came just hours after Geir Haarde, prime minister, said on Wednesday night that it was “unlikely” that the financial regulator would seize Kaupthing.

The regulator used recently enacted emergency legislation to take control of the bank.

Mr Einarsson moved to defend Kaupthing’s recent performance and management action, saying the bank had attracted increased deposits during September and had been preparing for a downturn by slowing its loan growth.

“At the same time, dark clouds began to form in the international financial markets,” he said. “On the morning of 29 September news emerged of the difficulties at Glitnir Bank … This triggered a series of events which nobody predicted or was able to control,” he said.

“Foreign investors unleashed a landslide in which they tried to get rid of Icelandic assets, regardless of how solid they were.”

Mr Einarsson said on Thursday that the bank’s board of directors had resigned.

▪ Norwegian insurer Gjensidige Forsikring on Thursday bought an 8.69 per cent stake in rival Storebrand from ailing Icelandic investment fund Exista for NKr782m ($128m), taking its total share capital in Storebrand to 24.26 per cent.

The sale comes just days after Exista sold a 20 per cent stake in Sampo, the Finnish insurer, for €1.3bn. Exista has been caught up in the wave of selling by Icelandic companies since the economy almost collapsed earlier this week.
 
Apr 25, 2002
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Iceland, in Financial Collapse, Is Likely to Need I.M.F. Help


REYKJAVIK, Iceland — Iceland’s financial system collapsed Thursday, and analysts said it was probably only a matter of time before the country would have to turn to the International Monetary Fund for help.

Such a move, which would make this small island nation the first sovereign state to fall victim to the credit squeeze that began last year, would require it to accept harsh measures to restore fiscal and monetary stability.

Iceland has tried desperately to avoid such a step. But the odds against it grew worse on Thursday when the government took over the last of three major banks and shut down the stock exchange.

Trading in the Icelandic krona ceased, with foreign banks no longer willing to take the currency — even at what seemed like bargain rates.
Adding to Iceland’s sense of isolation, a diplomatic dispute with Britain over money stranded in the failed banks deepened as the British government invoked antiterrorism laws in an effort to get the money.

“Iceland is bankrupt,” said Arsaell Valfells, a professor at the University of Iceland. “The Icelandic krona is history. The only sensible option is for the I.M.F. to come and rescue us.”

Prime Minister Geir Haarde, who had warned this week of the threat of “national bankruptcy,” declined to say Thursday whether Iceland was seeking a rescue package from the International Monetary Fund.
“We will certainly keep this option open, but we have not yet made a decision,” he said at a news conference here.

A fact-finding team from the International Monetary Fund has been in Reykjavik all week, and Mr. Haarde said Thursday that the finance minister, Arni Mathiesen, was on his way to Washington for the annual meeting of the monetary fund and the World Bank this weekend.

The fund’s managing director, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, said in Washington that he had activated an emergency financing system, last used during the Asian financial crisis of the 1990s, intended to expedite loans to countries in crisis.

“We are ready to answer any demand by countries facing problems,” he said. He did not mention Iceland by name.

Iceland has already approached Russia about the possibility of a 4 billion euro loan to help see it through the crisis, but Mr. Haarde said no agreement had been reached.

The I.M.F.’s intervention in Iceland would underline the extraordinary reversal in the country’s fortunes after a decade-long, debt-fueled binge by the country’s banks, businesses and some citizens. The banks, while avoiding the troubled mortgage securities that have humbled Wall Street, expanded aggressively at home and abroad. When credit tightened and the krona fell this year, they were unable to finance their debts, many of which are denominated in foreign currencies.

In these circumstances, going to the monetary fund “is probably the only thing Iceland can do,” said Richard Portes, an economist at London Business School who has studied the country’s financial problems.

On Thursday, the government seized Kaupthing Bank, the country’s largest lender, effectively completing the nationalization of the banking system after the earlier takeover of two other banks, Glitnir and Landsbanki.

The stock exchange will remain closed until Monday, the government said.

Mr. Haarde acknowledged that international trading in the currency had essentially ended. Bloomberg News cited traders at Nordea Bank as saying the last quoted value of the krona had been 340 to the euro — less than half what the Icelandic currency was worth at the start of the week.

Mr. Haarde said Thursday the central bank of Iceland had set up a special system to handle currency transactions, so that Icelandic companies could conduct international business.

“There are hiccups in the foreign exchange market,” he said. “If not today, then tomorrow, there will be more trading in the currency.”

Sounding surprisingly unworried for the leader of a country facing economic and financial disaster, he said, “We are gradually moving through this crisis.” He added, “There are still a few issues to resolve, but that is the nature of these kinds of things.”

Analysts say the problems with the krona have been at the core of the government’s inability to control the crisis. Without a viable currency, it is not possible to support the banks, which have done the bulk of their business in foreign markets. There is also no way to bring down inflation or interest rates, both of which were already in double digits before the crisis intensified in recent days.

Mr. Valfells and Mr. Portes said that once the situation was stabilized, presumably with help from the I.M.F., the best course would be for Iceland to give up on the krona entirely and to adopt the euro.

How could Iceland, which is not even a member of the European Union, adopt the single currency?

One option would be to simply peg the Icelandic currency to the euro. In that case, Iceland would also hand over control of monetary policy, including the setting of interest rates, to the European Central Bank.

But fixing the currency to the euro could be difficult for Iceland, given that its central bank probably lacks the reserves to defend such a level if the currency were to come under renewed attack.

That leaves another option: applying to join the European Union and adopting the euro. Because Iceland is already part of the European Economic Area, a looser trading group, it abides by many European Union rules.

Still, such a move would be politically challenging. The conservative Independence Party, headed by the prime minister, has been firmly against it.